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1. Company Snapshot

1.a. Company Description

Addus HomeCare Corporation, together with its subsidiaries, provides personal care services to elderly, chronically ill, disabled persons, and individuals who are at risk of hospitalization or institutionalization in the United States.It operates through three segments: Personal Care, Hospice, and Home Health.The Personal Care segment provides non-medical assistance with activities of daily living.


This segment offers services that include assistance with bathing, grooming, oral care, feeding and dressing, medication reminders, meal planning and preparation, housekeeping, and transportation services.The Hospice segment provides palliative nursing care, social work, spiritual counseling, homemaker, and bereavement counseling services for people who are terminally ill, as well as related services for their families.The Home Health segment offers skilled nursing and physical, occupational, and speech therapy for the individuals who requires assistance during an illness or after hospitalization.


The company's payor clients include federal, state, and local governmental agencies; managed care organizations; commercial insurers; and private individuals.As of December 31, 2021, the company served consumers through 206 offices located in 22 states.Addus HomeCare Corporation was founded in 1979 and is based in Frisco, Texas.

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1.b. Last Insights on ADUS

Addus HomeCare Corporation's recent performance was negatively impacted by a weak sell-off, despite strong Q4 earnings that matched estimates at $1.38 per share. The company's solid growth attributes and increasing earnings estimates from Wall Street analysts suggest a potential trend reversal. However, the stock's technical oversold status and lack of recent news or earnings releases suggest a cautious approach is warranted. The lack of recent data on key metrics such as revenue and medical care costs makes it difficult to assess the company's current performance."

1.c. Company Highlights

2. Addus HomeCare Corporation Delivers Strong Q3 2025 Earnings

Addus HomeCare Corporation reported a robust third quarter of 2025, with total revenue reaching $362.3 million, a 25% increase from $289.8 million in the third quarter of 2024. The revenue growth translated into adjusted earnings per share of $1.56, a 20% increase from $1.30 in the third quarter of 2024, beating analyst estimates of $1.53. Adjusted EBITDA was $45.1 million, a 31.6% increase from $34.3 million in the third quarter of 2024. The company's strong financial performance was also reflected in its operating cash flow, which exceeded $50 million for the quarter.

Publication Date: Nov -30

📋 Highlights
  • Revenue and Profit Growth:: Total revenue rose 25% to $362.3M YoY, with adjusted EPS up 20% to $1.56 and adjusted EBITDA increasing 31.6% to $45.1M.
  • Strong Cash Flow and Liquidity:: Operating cash flow exceeded $50M, with $102M in cash on hand as of September 30, 2025.
  • Segment Performance:: Hospice same-store revenue grew 19%, while home health declined 2.8%, but admissions stabilized YoY.
  • Acquisition Impact:: New acquisitions added $29.4M in annualized revenue, including Del Cielo ($12.7M) and Helping Hands ($16.7M).
  • Rate Increases and Margin Outlook:: Anticipated 9.9% Texas hospice rate hike and 3.9% Illinois increase, with 2026 margin benefits expected from growth and G&A leverage.

Segment Performance

The personal care segment saw same-store revenue growth of 6.6% and same-store hours increase by 2.4% compared to the third quarter of 2024. The hospice segment reported same-store revenue growth of 19% and an increase in average daily census of 9.5% compared to the third quarter of 2024. The home health segment saw a 2.8% decrease in same-store revenue compared to the third quarter of 2024, but admissions have leveled out year-over-year.

Strategic Initiatives

The company continues to evaluate acquisition opportunities to enhance its geographic coverage and density. Recent acquisitions include the purchase of Del Cielo Home Care Services in South Texas and Helping Hands Home Care Services in Western Pennsylvania. The caregiver app rollout in Illinois has shown a significant benefit, with an uptick in fill rate, and the company is optimistic about the opportunity in New Mexico and Texas.

Outlook and Valuation

The company expects mid-to-upper single-digit revenue growth in hospice and is cautiously optimistic about opportunities in home health. With a current P/E Ratio of 25.77 and an EV/EBITDA of 15.48, the market appears to be pricing in a certain level of growth. Analysts estimate next year's revenue growth at 7.1%, which is slightly higher than the company's historical growth rate. The company's strong financial performance and strategic initiatives position it well for continued growth.

Rate Updates and Regulatory Environment

The company expects a 3.1% increase in hospice rates effective October 1, 2025, and a 9.9% rate increase in Texas effective September 1, 2025. However, the proposed home health rule projects a 6.4% aggregate reduction in Medicare payments in 2026, which could impact the company's home health segment.

Operational Highlights

The company has made strategic investments in its team, driving strong results in hospice. The labor market for clinical staff is stable, except in a few urban markets. If reimbursement rates improve, the company believes it can attract necessary staff to return to organic growth.

3. NewsRoom

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Addus HomeCare Corporation $ADUS Position Increased by Creative Planning

Dec -02

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Addus HomeCare Corporation (ADUS) Presents at UBS Global Healthcare Conference 2025 Transcript

Nov -12

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Addus HomeCare to Participate in Upcoming Investor Conferences in November

Nov -05

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Addus HomeCare Corporation (ADUS) Q3 2025 Earnings Call Transcript

Nov -04

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Addus HomeCare Announces Third Quarter 2025 Financial Results

Nov -03

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Addus HomeCare Corporation $ADUS Shares Bought by Yousif Capital Management LLC

Oct -23

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Is the Options Market Predicting a Spike in Addus HomeCare Stock?

Sep -25

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4 Outpatient Home Health Stocks Worth Watching Amid Shifting Trends

Sep -24

4. Business Breakdown

4.a. Revenues by Country

4.b. Revenues by Segment

5. Expected revenues mid-term growth (7.40%)

6. Segments

Personal Care

Expected Growth: 7.4%

Growing demand for non-medical in-home care services, increasing elderly population, and rising need for assistance with daily living activities drive the growth of Personal Care segment.

Hospice

Expected Growth: 7.4%

Growing demand for hospice care driven by aging population, increasing prevalence of chronic diseases, and shift towards value-based care. Addus HomeCare's compassionate care and focus on comfort and quality of life position it for growth in this segment.

Home Health

Expected Growth: 7.4%

Growing demand for home-based care, increasing elderly population, and government initiatives to promote home healthcare are driving the growth of Addus HomeCare Corporation's Home Health segment.

7. Detailed Products

Personal Care

Assistance with daily living activities such as bathing, dressing, grooming, and feeding

Home Health Care

Skilled medical care provided in the comfort of the patient's own home

Adult Day Care

Social and recreational activities for adults who require supervision and care during the day

Hospice Care

Compassionate care and support for individuals with terminal illnesses

Private Duty Nursing

One-on-one medical care and support for individuals with complex medical needs

8. Addus HomeCare Corporation's Porter Forces

Forces Ranking

Threat Of Substitutes

Addus HomeCare Corporation's services are highly specialized and require skilled professionals, making it difficult for substitutes to emerge.

Bargaining Power Of Customers

While customers have some bargaining power due to the availability of alternative home care providers, Addus HomeCare Corporation's strong reputation and quality of care limit the impact of customer bargaining power.

Bargaining Power Of Suppliers

Addus HomeCare Corporation has a diverse supplier base, and the company's scale and reputation give it bargaining power over suppliers.

Threat Of New Entrants

While there are barriers to entry in the home care industry, such as licensing and regulatory requirements, new entrants can still emerge, particularly in niche markets or with innovative business models.

Intensity Of Rivalry

The home care industry is highly competitive, with many established players and a growing demand for services, leading to intense rivalry among providers.

9. SWOT Analysis

10. Capital Structure

10.a. Balance Sheet

10.b. Weighted Average Cost of capital

Value
Debt Weight 16.09%
Debt Cost 8.25%
Equity Weight 83.91%
Equity Cost 8.74%
WACC 8.66%
Leverage 19.17%

11. Quality Control: Addus HomeCare Corporation passed 5 out of 9 key points

12.a Historical Valuation

12.b Price/Earnings Ratio

12.c Margin Valuation

12.d Peers Valuation

Peers Group Analysis

Stock-Card
Cryo-Cell International

A-Score: 4.8/10

Value: 6.4

Growth: 3.7

Quality: 6.4

Yield: 8.0

Momentum: 1.5

Volatility: 2.7

1-Year Total Return ->

Stock-Card
Addus HomeCare

A-Score: 4.7/10

Value: 3.6

Growth: 7.8

Quality: 6.6

Yield: 0.0

Momentum: 3.0

Volatility: 7.3

1-Year Total Return ->

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Cross Country Healthcare

A-Score: 4.7/10

Value: 6.6

Growth: 6.2

Quality: 4.6

Yield: 0.0

Momentum: 7.5

Volatility: 3.3

1-Year Total Return ->

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Aveanna Healthcare

A-Score: 4.4/10

Value: 4.9

Growth: 6.4

Quality: 4.7

Yield: 0.0

Momentum: 9.5

Volatility: 1.0

1-Year Total Return ->

Stock-Card
ASHS

A-Score: 3.8/10

Value: 9.6

Growth: 4.6

Quality: 3.5

Yield: 0.0

Momentum: 1.0

Volatility: 4.0

1-Year Total Return ->

Stock-Card
Astrana Health

A-Score: 3.3/10

Value: 4.5

Growth: 7.3

Quality: 5.2

Yield: 0.0

Momentum: 0.0

Volatility: 2.7

1-Year Total Return ->

Peers Metrics

12.e Scoring Insights

12.f DCF BETA

Parameters

Short Term Growth

Short term Time

Long-Term Growth

WACC

Target Price

113.19$

Current Price

113.19$

Potential

-0.00%

Expected Cash-Flows