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1. Company Snapshot

1.a. Company Description

Alpine Income Property Trust, Inc.(NYSE: PINE) is a publicly traded real estate investment trust that acquires, owns and operates a portfolio of high-quality single-tenant net leased commercial income properties.

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1.b. Last Insights on PINE

Alpine Income Property Trust's recent performance was driven by several positive factors. The company's Q3 2025 earnings beat estimates, with FFO of $0.46 per share, surpassing the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $0.43 per share. Additionally, the company raised its full-year 2025 outlook and increased its 2025 investment guidance to $200-230 million. Alpine Income also acquired a three-property portfolio for $2.8 million and a Sam's Club property for $15.4 million. Furthermore, the company launched a public offering of 8.00% Series A Cumulative Redeemable Preferred Stock, priced at $25.00 per share, expected to generate $50 million in gross proceeds. Rated a Strong Buy by analysts, the company's portfolio boasts 99% occupancy and an attractive 8.25% dividend yield.

1.c. Company Highlights

2. Alpine Income Property Trust's Q3 Earnings: A Strong Performance

Alpine Income Property Trust reported a robust Q3 with AFFO per share growth of 4.5% compared to the same quarter last year. FFO and AFFO for the quarter were both $0.46 per diluted share, representing 2.2% and 4.5% growth, respectively. The company's dividend represents an annualized yield of approximately 8.25% and has an approximate AFFO payout ratio of 62%. The actual EPS came out at -$0.09 relative to estimates at $0.43, indicating a significant deviation from expectations.

Publication Date: Nov -02

📋 Highlights
  • AFFO Growth:: AFFO per share rose 4.5% YoY to $0.46, outpacing FFO's 2.2% growth.
  • Property Acquisitions:: Acquired 2 Lowe's ground-leased properties for $21.1M at 6% cap rate and 11.6-year lease terms.
  • Loan Origination:: Originated $28.6M loans at 10.6% weighted average yield, boosting loan portfolio to $94M with 11.5% interest rate.
  • 2025 Outlook Raised:: FFO/AFFO guidance increased to $1.82–$1.85/share, reflecting strong capital deployment and tenant quality.
  • Liquidity & Debt:: Maintains $61M liquidity and 7.7x net debt/EBITDA, with $21M in 2026 loan maturities to be refinanced via sales and credit facilities.

Acquisition and Disposition Activity

The company acquired 2 properties ground leased to Lowe's for $21.1 million at a weighted average initial cap rate of 6% and a weighted average lease term of 11.6 years. Year-to-date, property acquisition volume totaled $60.8 million at a weighted average initial cap rate of 7.7% and a WALT of 13.6 years. The company also sold 3 assets for $6.2 million, indicating a continued effort to optimize its portfolio. As John Albright mentioned, "they still have some Walgreens and dollar stores to move through, and other assets like Advance Auto Parts and Tractor Supply will continue to be sold," highlighting the company's ongoing disposition strategy.

Loan Portfolio and Liquidity

The company originated $28.6 million of loans at a weighted average initial yield of 10.6%. The loan portfolio is approximately $94 million at a weighted average interest rate of 11.5%, with $21 million scheduled to mature in 2026. The company expects to utilize proceeds from these 2026 maturities, selling a senior tranche of one or more loan investments, property dispositions, and existing capacity on its revolving credit facility to fund loan commitments. Philip Mays added that an A note sale could occur before year-end, further reducing the funding load.

Valuation and Outlook

Alpine Income Property Trust increased its FFO and AFFO outlook for 2025 to a new range of $1.82 to $1.85 per diluted share. The company's net debt to pro forma adjusted EBITDA stands at 7.7x, and $61 million of liquidity. With a dividend yield of 7.73% and a P/B Ratio of 0.93, the stock appears to be reasonably valued. Analysts estimate next year's revenue growth at 1.8%. The EV/EBITDA ratio is 14.18, indicating a moderate valuation. As the company continues to execute its strategy, investors will be watching for further progress in optimizing its portfolio and growing its loan book.

Credit Quality and Tenant Profile

The company is monitoring the situation with tenants like At Home, which has seen a decline in credit rating. Philip Mays explained that the decrease in credit-rated tenants was due to tenants like Walgreens and At Home dropping their credit ratings. John Albright mentioned that future property acquisitions will target higher credit quality and investment-grade tenants, indicating a focus on improving the overall credit profile of the portfolio.

3. NewsRoom

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Is Your Retirement Income Enough? How I Leveled Up Mine With Covered Call ETFs

Dec -03

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Financial Review: CTO Realty Growth (NYSE:CTO) vs. Plymouth Industrial REIT (NYSE:PLYM)

Dec -03

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PINE or OHI: Which Is the Better Value Stock Right Now?

Dec -02

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Alpine Income Property Trust Announces Year-To-Date 2025 Transaction Activity & Preferred Equity Offering

Dec -01

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Alpine: This Is Why After ~30% Rally I'm Still Holding It

Dec -01

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2 Top Stocks to Invest $50,000 in Right Now

Nov -25

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PINE.PR.A: An 8.00% Preferred Stock IPO From Alpine Income Property

Nov -24

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Steven Cress' 6 Picks: 3 Dividend Income, 3 AI Growth Stocks

Nov -23

4. Business Breakdown

4.a. Revenues by Country

4.b. Revenues by Segment

5. Expected revenues mid-term growth (2.00%)

6. Segments

Retail Real Estate

Expected Growth: 2.0%

Alpine Income Property Trust's 2.0% growth in Retail Real Estate is driven by increasing demand for essential retail services, e-commerce resistant tenants, and strategic acquisitions. Additionally, the company's focus on high-quality, necessity-based retail properties with long-term leases and strong credit tenants contributes to its stable growth.

7. Detailed Products

Net Leased Properties

Alpine Income Property Trust, Inc. invests in and manages a diversified portfolio of net leased properties, providing a steady income stream to its investors.

Industrial Properties

The company acquires and manages industrial properties, including warehouses, distribution centers, and manufacturing facilities, leased to creditworthy tenants.

Office Properties

Alpine Income Property Trust, Inc. invests in and manages a portfolio of office properties, including suburban and urban office buildings, leased to a diverse range of tenants.

Retail Properties

The company acquires and manages a diversified portfolio of retail properties, including shopping centers, strip centers, and single-tenant retail properties.

8. Alpine Income Property Trust, Inc.'s Porter Forces

Forces Ranking

Threat Of Substitutes

Alpine Income Property Trust, Inc. operates in a niche market, providing a unique combination of real estate investment and management services. While there are substitutes available, the company's specialized offerings and strong brand reputation mitigate the threat of substitutes.

Bargaining Power Of Customers

Alpine Income Property Trust, Inc.'s customers are primarily institutional investors and high-net-worth individuals, who have limited bargaining power due to the company's specialized services and strong market position.

Bargaining Power Of Suppliers

Alpine Income Property Trust, Inc. relies on a network of suppliers, including property managers, contractors, and service providers. While the company has some bargaining power, suppliers can still exert some influence due to the specialized nature of their services.

Threat Of New Entrants

The barriers to entry in the real estate investment and management industry are relatively high, requiring significant capital and expertise. This limits the threat of new entrants and allows Alpine Income Property Trust, Inc. to maintain its market position.

Intensity Of Rivalry

The real estate investment and management industry is highly competitive, with several established players competing for market share. Alpine Income Property Trust, Inc. must continually innovate and improve its services to maintain its competitive edge.

9. SWOT Analysis

10. Capital Structure

10.a. Balance Sheet

10.b. Weighted Average Cost of capital

Value
Debt Weight 52.95%
Debt Cost 3.95%
Equity Weight 47.05%
Equity Cost 8.01%
WACC 5.86%
Leverage 112.53%

11. Quality Control: Alpine Income Property Trust, Inc. passed 3 out of 9 key points

12.a Historical Valuation

12.b Price/Earnings Ratio

12.c Margin Valuation

12.d Peers Valuation

Peers Group Analysis

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CBL Properties

A-Score: 8.0/10

Value: 6.7

Growth: 8.4

Quality: 7.8

Yield: 10.0

Momentum: 7.0

Volatility: 8.3

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Alexanders

A-Score: 6.2/10

Value: 3.1

Growth: 2.9

Quality: 7.6

Yield: 10.0

Momentum: 6.0

Volatility: 7.7

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Getty Realty

A-Score: 6.2/10

Value: 3.1

Growth: 4.6

Quality: 6.5

Yield: 10.0

Momentum: 3.0

Volatility: 10.0

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Saul Centers

A-Score: 6.1/10

Value: 5.7

Growth: 3.6

Quality: 6.1

Yield: 10.0

Momentum: 2.0

Volatility: 9.3

1-Year Total Return ->

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Alpine Income Property Trust

A-Score: 5.6/10

Value: 4.8

Growth: 5.1

Quality: 3.2

Yield: 10.0

Momentum: 1.5

Volatility: 9.3

1-Year Total Return ->

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Acadia Realty

A-Score: 5.1/10

Value: 2.6

Growth: 2.9

Quality: 4.9

Yield: 8.0

Momentum: 3.0

Volatility: 9.0

1-Year Total Return ->

Peers Metrics

12.e Scoring Insights

12.f DCF BETA

Parameters

Short Term Growth

Short term Time

Long-Term Growth

WACC

Target Price

17.46$

Current Price

17.46$

Potential

-0.00%

Expected Cash-Flows