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1. Company Snapshot

1.a. Company Description

Arlo Technologies, Inc., together with its subsidiaries, provides a cloud-based platform in the Americas, Europe, the Middle East, Africa, and the Asia Pacific regions.It combines an intelligent cloud infrastructure and mobile app with various smart connected devices.The company offers Arlo essential indoor camera; Arlo Go 2 LTE/Wi-Fi security camera; Arlo Q and Arlo Q Plus, an indoor wired solution that allows users to monitor their surroundings; and Arlo Go, an LTE-enabled wire-free camera that provides untethered mobile security.


It also provides Arlo Baby, a baby monitor with air quality and temperature sensors, motion and audio detection, and advanced night vision; Arlo Chime that pairs with the Arlo Video Doorbell to play a variety of ringtones or act as a siren; Arlo Ultra, an integrated spotlight and crystal-clear two-way audio with advanced noise cancellations camera; Arlo Pro 3, an integrated spotlight with color night vision camera; Arlo Video Doorbell delivers direct-to-mobile video calls and personalized alerts; Arlo Floodlight Camera, a wire-free variant LED camera, as well as Arlo Essential Spotlight; Arlo Ultra 2; Arlo Essential XL Spotlight; Arlo Essential Wire-Free Video Doorbell; and Arlo Pro 4 Wire-Free Spotlight.In addition, it provides Arlo accessories, such as charging accessories, device mounts, and device skins.Further, it offers Arlo app for iOS and Android devices that allow users to connect various devices; and Arlo Secure, with coverage for unlimited cameras and an enhanced emergency response solutions.


The company offers its products through retailers, wholesale distributors, broadcast channels, wireless carriers, and security solution providers, as well as through its website.Arlo Technologies, Inc.was incorporated in 2018 and is headquartered in Carlsbad, California.

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1.b. Last Insights on ARLO

Arlo Technologies' recent performance was negatively driven by missing Q4 earnings estimates, with a quarterly earnings of $0.10 per share, compared to the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $0.11 per share. However, the company's FY25 outlook calling for substantial ~20% growth in services revenue, and its strong service growth, rich partner base, and innovations like Arlo Secure 5.0, have boosted investor sentiment. Additionally, the company's gross margins continue to improve, despite hardware discounting, and new product sales are encouraging.

1.c. Company Highlights

2. Arlo Technologies' Strong Q4 2025 Results Driven by Service Revenue Growth

Arlo Technologies reported a robust fourth quarter with total revenue of $141 million, slightly above guidance, driven by product launches and services business growth. Service revenue hit $89 million, representing 63% of total revenue and growing at 39% year-over-year. The company's non-GAAP EPS came in at $0.22, beating estimates of $0.16. Annual recurring revenue (ARR) reached $330 million, up 28% year-over-year, and EBITDA hit $23 million, up 138% year-over-year.

Publication Date: Mar -07

📋 Highlights
  • Q4 Revenue & Service Growth:: Total revenue $141M (service revenue $89M, 63% of total, +39% YoY).
  • ARR Expansion:: Annual recurring revenue (ARR) reached $330M (+28% YoY), with 94% gross margin on subscriptions.
  • Profitability Surge:: Q4 EBITDA $23M (+138% YoY) and non-GAAP EPS $0.22 (+120% YoY).
  • SaaS Metrics:: Monthly churn 1%, retention 99%, ARPU $15.30 (+21% YoY), and 84% service gross margin.
  • 2026 Guidance:: Revenue $550M–$580M, with service revenue >65% of total, and EPS $0.75–$0.85.

Service Revenue and Gross Margin Expansion

The company's service revenue growth is attributed to the core business, new subscriptions, and ARPU expansion. Arlo's SaaS performance metrics are impressive, with monthly consolidated churn dropping to 1% in the fourth quarter, and monthly subscriber retention rate at 99%. Average monthly revenue per user (ARPU) grew to $15.30, and these subscriptions generated an outstanding 94% gross margin. The company's non-GAAP subscriptions and services gross margin came in at 84% for the quarter, up 230 basis points when compared to the same period last year.

Operational Highlights and Future Growth

Arlo's installed base of paid accounts grew to 5.7 million, and the paid account growth aligns with the 23% increase in retail POS volume. The company is well-positioned to continue its growth trajectory, driven by its commitment to data ownership and security, and its strategic partnerships with Samsung and Comcast. Arlo is targeting more than 20% service revenue growth again in 2026 and will invest in new adjacent market segments.

Valuation and Growth Expectations

Given Arlo's strong growth prospects, its current valuation metrics appear reasonable. The company's P/E Ratio stands at 98.19, and its P/S Ratio is 2.78. With expected revenue growth of 9.2% next year, the stock may continue to attract investors seeking exposure to the smart home security market. Arlo's ROIC is 4.18%, and its ROE is 12.47%, indicating a decent return on equity.

Cash Flow and Capital Allocation

The company generated $68 million in free cash flow in 2025 and expects it to grow to $80 million in 2026. Arlo's capital allocation plan includes organic investment, share repurchase, and inorganic investment. The company has demonstrated its commitment to share repurchase, repurchasing over 3.3 million shares last year, and its Board has approved an additional $50 million to repurchase shares.

3. NewsRoom

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A Look at Arlo Technologies Inc (ARLO) After 4.6% Gain -- GF Value $10.40 vs Price $13.72

Apr -13

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Kurtis Joseph Binder Sells 25,000 Shares of Arlo Technologies (NYSE:ARLO) Stock

Apr -09

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Comparing Riskified (NYSE:RSKD) & Arlo Technologies (NYSE:ARLO)

Apr -08

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Arlo Technologies, Inc. (NYSE:ARLO) Receives $23.33 Average PT from Analysts

Mar -30

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Arlo: Poised To Keep Rallying As Subscribers Grow

Mar -28

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Arlo Technologies General Counsel Sells 25000 Shares for $352000 to Cover Taxes

Mar -22

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Arlo Technologies (NYSE:ARLO) Board Declares Stock Buyback Plan

Mar -05

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Arlo Adopts Stock Repurchase Program

Mar -04

4. Business Breakdown

4.a. Revenues by Country

4.b. Revenues by Segment

5. Expected revenues mid-term growth (6.18%)

6. Segments

Smart Connected Devices

Expected Growth: 7%

Arlo Technologies' Smart Connected Devices segment growth is driven by increasing adoption of IoT devices, rising demand for home security and automation, growing need for remote monitoring, and advancements in AI-powered camera technology. Additionally, the shift towards smart homes and cities, and increasing awareness of security threats are contributing to the 7% growth rate.

Services

Expected Growth: 5%

Arlo Technologies, Inc.'s services growth is driven by increasing demand for smart home security solutions, expansion into new markets, and strategic partnerships. The rise of IoT and AI adoption, coupled with growing concerns about home security, are also key contributors. Additionally, Arlo's innovative products and subscription-based model are attracting a growing customer base, fueling revenue growth.

7. Detailed Products

Arlo Wire-Free Cameras

Battery-powered, weather-resistant cameras that can be placed indoors or outdoors to provide a clear view of your home or business.

Arlo Q Cameras

Indoor cameras that plug into a power outlet and provide a clear view of your home or business.

Arlo Pro Cameras

Wire-free cameras with advanced features like weather resistance, night vision, and motion detection.

Arlo Audio Doorbell

A smart doorbell with a built-in speaker and microphone that allows for two-way audio communication.

Arlo Security Lights

Wireless, motion-sensing lights that can be placed indoors or outdoors to provide additional security and illumination.

Arlo SmartHub

A central hub that connects and manages all Arlo devices, providing a single point of control and monitoring.

8. Arlo Technologies, Inc.'s Porter Forces

Forces Ranking

Threat Of Substitutes

Arlo Technologies, Inc. faces moderate threat from substitutes as there are alternative security camera solutions available in the market, but the company's innovative products and strong brand reputation help to mitigate this threat.

Bargaining Power Of Customers

Arlo Technologies, Inc. has a diverse customer base, which reduces the bargaining power of individual customers. Additionally, the company's products are designed to be user-friendly, making it easy for customers to use and maintain, reducing their bargaining power.

Bargaining Power Of Suppliers

Arlo Technologies, Inc. relies on a few key suppliers for components and manufacturing, which gives them some bargaining power. However, the company's strong relationships with suppliers and its ability to negotiate prices help to mitigate this threat.

Threat Of New Entrants

The security camera market is highly competitive, and new entrants can easily enter the market with innovative products, posing a significant threat to Arlo Technologies, Inc. The company needs to continuously innovate and improve its products to stay ahead of the competition.

Intensity Of Rivalry

The security camera market is highly competitive, with many established players and new entrants vying for market share. Arlo Technologies, Inc. faces intense rivalry from competitors, which can lead to pricing pressure and reduced market share if the company is not able to differentiate its products and services.

9. SWOT Analysis

10. Capital Structure

10.a. Balance Sheet

10.b. Weighted Average Cost of capital

Value
Debt Weight 17.05%
Debt Cost 3.95%
Equity Weight 82.95%
Equity Cost 13.31%
WACC 11.71%
Leverage 20.56%

11. Quality Control: Arlo Technologies, Inc. passed 7 out of 9 key points

12.a Historical Valuation

12.b Price/Earnings Ratio

12.c Margin Valuation

12.d Peers Valuation

Peers Group Analysis

Stock-Card
Napco Security Technologies

A-Score: 5.0/10

Value: 1.2

Growth: 8.8

Quality: 8.8

Yield: 1.0

Momentum: 6.0

Volatility: 4.0

1-Year Total Return ->

Stock-Card
VerifyMe

A-Score: 4.6/10

Value: 9.0

Growth: 6.4

Quality: 3.2

Yield: 0.0

Momentum: 9.0

Volatility: 0.0

1-Year Total Return ->

Stock-Card
Mistras

A-Score: 4.4/10

Value: 5.3

Growth: 4.3

Quality: 4.1

Yield: 0.0

Momentum: 8.5

Volatility: 4.0

1-Year Total Return ->

Stock-Card
Arlo Technologies

A-Score: 3.9/10

Value: 1.4

Growth: 5.7

Quality: 5.6

Yield: 0.0

Momentum: 7.5

Volatility: 3.3

1-Year Total Return ->

Stock-Card
Bridger Aerospace

A-Score: 3.8/10

Value: 8.3

Growth: 6.4

Quality: 5.5

Yield: 0.0

Momentum: 1.0

Volatility: 1.3

1-Year Total Return ->

Stock-Card
GEO Group

A-Score: 2.9/10

Value: 5.7

Growth: 2.2

Quality: 5.0

Yield: 0.0

Momentum: 0.5

Volatility: 4.0

1-Year Total Return ->

Peers Metrics

12.e Scoring Insights

12.f DCF BETA

Parameters

Short Term Growth

Short term Time

Long-Term Growth

WACC

Target Price

13.92$

Current Price

13.92$

Potential

-0.00%

Expected Cash-Flows