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1. Company Snapshot

1.a. Company Description

Arlo Technologies, Inc., together with its subsidiaries, provides a cloud-based platform in the Americas, Europe, the Middle East, Africa, and the Asia Pacific regions.It combines an intelligent cloud infrastructure and mobile app with various smart connected devices.The company offers Arlo essential indoor camera; Arlo Go 2 LTE/Wi-Fi security camera; Arlo Q and Arlo Q Plus, an indoor wired solution that allows users to monitor their surroundings; and Arlo Go, an LTE-enabled wire-free camera that provides untethered mobile security.


It also provides Arlo Baby, a baby monitor with air quality and temperature sensors, motion and audio detection, and advanced night vision; Arlo Chime that pairs with the Arlo Video Doorbell to play a variety of ringtones or act as a siren; Arlo Ultra, an integrated spotlight and crystal-clear two-way audio with advanced noise cancellations camera; Arlo Pro 3, an integrated spotlight with color night vision camera; Arlo Video Doorbell delivers direct-to-mobile video calls and personalized alerts; Arlo Floodlight Camera, a wire-free variant LED camera, as well as Arlo Essential Spotlight; Arlo Ultra 2; Arlo Essential XL Spotlight; Arlo Essential Wire-Free Video Doorbell; and Arlo Pro 4 Wire-Free Spotlight.In addition, it provides Arlo accessories, such as charging accessories, device mounts, and device skins.Further, it offers Arlo app for iOS and Android devices that allow users to connect various devices; and Arlo Secure, with coverage for unlimited cameras and an enhanced emergency response solutions.


The company offers its products through retailers, wholesale distributors, broadcast channels, wireless carriers, and security solution providers, as well as through its website.Arlo Technologies, Inc.was incorporated in 2018 and is headquartered in Carlsbad, California.

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1.b. Last Insights on ARLO

Arlo Technologies' recent performance was negatively driven by missing Q4 earnings estimates, with a quarterly earnings of $0.10 per share, compared to the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $0.11 per share. However, the company's FY25 outlook calling for substantial ~20% growth in services revenue, and its strong service growth, rich partner base, and innovations like Arlo Secure 5.0, have boosted investor sentiment. Additionally, the company's gross margins continue to improve, despite hardware discounting, and new product sales are encouraging.

1.c. Company Highlights

2. Arlo Technologies' Q3 2025 Earnings: A Record-Breaking Quarter

Arlo Technologies reported a strong Q3 2025, with subscriptions and services revenue reaching $79.9 million, up 29% year-over-year. The company's annual recurring revenue (ARR) hit $323 million, a 34% increase from the previous year. Non-GAAP net income per diluted share came in at $0.16, beating estimates of $0.15. Gross margins also expanded, with service gross margin reaching 85%, a new record for the company. The company's focus on enhancing customer journeys and delivering a differentiated value proposition drove new paid accounts to select premium rate plans, resulting in an average revenue per user (ARPU) of over $15 per month.

Publication Date: Nov -16

📋 Highlights
  • Record Paid Account Growth:: Added 281,000 paid accounts in Q3, reaching 5.4 million total, up 27% YoY.
  • Annual Recurring Revenue Surge:: ARR hit $323 million, a 34% YoY increase, driven by $15+ average revenue per user (ARPU).
  • Service Gross Margin Expansion:: Non-GAAP margin reached 85%, up 770 basis points YoY, reflecting operational efficiencies.
  • Product Launch Impact:: Largest-ever product launch across Essential, Pro, and Ultra tiers, with 20–35% COGS declines.
  • Q4 Revenue Guidance:: Consolidated revenue projected at $131–141 million, with non-GAAP net income per share of $0.13–$0.19.

Drivers of Growth

The strong performance was driven by the addition of 281,000 paid accounts, resulting in a total of 5.4 million paid accounts, a 27% increase year-over-year. The company's latest AI-based security platform, Arlo Secure 6, was a key driver of this growth, with users finding substantial value in its features and capabilities. The partnership with Verisure also contributed to the growth, with the company seeing a broader opportunity to expand in Latin America.

Guidance and Outlook

Arlo Technologies guided Q4 consolidated revenue to be in the range of $131 million to $141 million, with non-GAAP net income per diluted share expected to be between $0.13 and $0.19. The company expects to continue leveraging its new products and competitive ASPs to drive strong POS volume and accelerate paid subscription growth. Analysts estimate revenue growth of 7.9% for next year, indicating a continued upward trajectory for the company.

Valuation

Arlo Technologies' current valuation metrics indicate a premium valuation, with a P/E Ratio of 345.85 and a P/S Ratio of 2.86. The company's EV/EBITDA ratio is also high at 25513.09. However, the Free Cash Flow Yield is 3.75%, indicating a relatively attractive cash return. The ROE is 3.81%, while the ROIC is -3.0%, suggesting that the company still has room for improvement in terms of profitability.

3. NewsRoom

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Arlo Technologies to Present at the Raymond James TMT and Consumer Conference

Dec -02

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4 Must-Buy Efficient Stocks to Strengthen Your Portfolio Returns

Nov -19

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Bank of New York Mellon Corp Sells 6,971 Shares of Arlo Technologies, Inc. $ARLO

Nov -19

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Arlo Technologies (ARLO) Upgraded to Strong Buy: Here's What You Should Know

Nov -17

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Are Computer and Technology Stocks Lagging Arlo Technologies (ARLO) This Year?

Nov -17

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After Plunging 19.4% in 4 Weeks, Here's Why the Trend Might Reverse for Arlo Technologies (ARLO)

Nov -17

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Arlo Technologies, Inc. (ARLO) Q3 2025 Earnings Call Transcript

Nov -07

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Arlo Technologies (ARLO) Q3 Earnings: How Key Metrics Compare to Wall Street Estimates

Nov -07

4. Business Breakdown

4.a. Revenues by Country

4.b. Revenues by Segment

5. Expected revenues mid-term growth (6.18%)

6. Segments

Smart Connected Devices

Expected Growth: 7%

Arlo Technologies' Smart Connected Devices segment growth is driven by increasing adoption of IoT devices, rising demand for home security and automation, growing need for remote monitoring, and advancements in AI-powered camera technology. Additionally, the shift towards smart homes and cities, and increasing awareness of security threats are contributing to the 7% growth rate.

Services

Expected Growth: 5%

Arlo Technologies, Inc.'s services growth is driven by increasing demand for smart home security solutions, expansion into new markets, and strategic partnerships. The rise of IoT and AI adoption, coupled with growing concerns about home security, are also key contributors. Additionally, Arlo's innovative products and subscription-based model are attracting a growing customer base, fueling revenue growth.

7. Detailed Products

Arlo Wire-Free Cameras

Battery-powered, weather-resistant cameras that can be placed indoors or outdoors to provide a clear view of your home or business.

Arlo Q Cameras

Indoor cameras that plug into a power outlet and provide a clear view of your home or business.

Arlo Pro Cameras

Wire-free cameras with advanced features like weather resistance, night vision, and motion detection.

Arlo Audio Doorbell

A smart doorbell with a built-in speaker and microphone that allows for two-way audio communication.

Arlo Security Lights

Wireless, motion-sensing lights that can be placed indoors or outdoors to provide additional security and illumination.

Arlo SmartHub

A central hub that connects and manages all Arlo devices, providing a single point of control and monitoring.

8. Arlo Technologies, Inc.'s Porter Forces

Forces Ranking

Threat Of Substitutes

Arlo Technologies, Inc. faces moderate threat from substitutes as there are alternative security camera solutions available in the market, but the company's innovative products and strong brand reputation help to mitigate this threat.

Bargaining Power Of Customers

Arlo Technologies, Inc. has a diverse customer base, which reduces the bargaining power of individual customers. Additionally, the company's products are designed to be user-friendly, making it easy for customers to use and maintain, reducing their bargaining power.

Bargaining Power Of Suppliers

Arlo Technologies, Inc. relies on a few key suppliers for components and manufacturing, which gives them some bargaining power. However, the company's strong relationships with suppliers and its ability to negotiate prices help to mitigate this threat.

Threat Of New Entrants

The security camera market is highly competitive, and new entrants can easily enter the market with innovative products, posing a significant threat to Arlo Technologies, Inc. The company needs to continuously innovate and improve its products to stay ahead of the competition.

Intensity Of Rivalry

The security camera market is highly competitive, with many established players and new entrants vying for market share. Arlo Technologies, Inc. faces intense rivalry from competitors, which can lead to pricing pressure and reduced market share if the company is not able to differentiate its products and services.

9. SWOT Analysis

10. Capital Structure

10.a. Balance Sheet

10.b. Weighted Average Cost of capital

Value
Debt Weight 17.05%
Debt Cost 3.95%
Equity Weight 82.95%
Equity Cost 13.31%
WACC 11.71%
Leverage 20.56%

11. Quality Control: Arlo Technologies, Inc. passed 7 out of 9 key points

12.a Historical Valuation

12.b Price/Earnings Ratio

12.c Margin Valuation

12.d Peers Valuation

Peers Group Analysis

Stock-Card
Napco Security Technologies

A-Score: 5.0/10

Value: 1.2

Growth: 8.8

Quality: 8.6

Yield: 1.0

Momentum: 6.0

Volatility: 4.7

1-Year Total Return ->

Stock-Card
Arlo Technologies

A-Score: 4.3/10

Value: 4.9

Growth: 5.7

Quality: 3.7

Yield: 0.0

Momentum: 8.5

Volatility: 3.3

1-Year Total Return ->

Stock-Card
Mistras

A-Score: 4.2/10

Value: 6.8

Growth: 4.3

Quality: 5.5

Yield: 0.0

Momentum: 3.5

Volatility: 5.3

1-Year Total Return ->

Stock-Card
GEO Group

A-Score: 4.2/10

Value: 5.1

Growth: 2.3

Quality: 5.0

Yield: 0.0

Momentum: 9.0

Volatility: 3.7

1-Year Total Return ->

Stock-Card
Bridger Aerospace

A-Score: 3.7/10

Value: 7.8

Growth: 6.4

Quality: 4.8

Yield: 0.0

Momentum: 2.0

Volatility: 1.0

1-Year Total Return ->

Stock-Card
VerifyMe

A-Score: 2.9/10

Value: 7.4

Growth: 6.4

Quality: 3.2

Yield: 0.0

Momentum: 0.5

Volatility: 0.0

1-Year Total Return ->

Peers Metrics

12.e Scoring Insights

12.f DCF BETA

Parameters

Short Term Growth

Short term Time

Long-Term Growth

WACC

Target Price

14.34$

Current Price

14.35$

Potential

-0.00%

Expected Cash-Flows