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1. Company Snapshot

1.a. Company Description

BellRing Brands, Inc., together with its subsidiaries, provides various nutrition products in the United States and internationally.It offers ready-to-drink shake and powder protein products primarily under the Premier Protein and Dymatize brands.The company sells its products through club, food, drug, mass, eCommerce, specialty, and convenience channels.


BellRing Brands, Inc.was incorporated in 2019 and is headquartered in Saint Louis, Missouri.

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1.b. Last Insights on BRBR

BellRing Brands' recent performance was negatively impacted by anticipated retailer destocking, which led to a significant decline in its share price. The company's Q3 2025 earnings revealed lower gross margins and decreased unadjusted net earnings. Investigations into potential securities law violations have been launched due to concerns over inventory levels and their effect on the stock price. Additionally, Q4 2025 earnings missed estimates, with a reported $0.51 per share compared to the expected $0.54 per share.

1.c. Company Highlights

2. BellRing Brands' Fiscal Year 2025 Earnings: A Strong Performance with Growth Ahead

BellRing Brands reported a robust fiscal year 2025, with net sales growth of 16% and an adjusted EBITDA margin of 20.8%. The company's fourth-quarter net sales reached $648 million, up 17% year-over-year, with an adjusted EBITDA margin of 18.1%. Earnings per share (EPS) came in at $0.51, slightly below the estimated $0.546. The strong performance was driven by the successful launch of its first media campaign since 2021, expanded distribution, and accelerated innovation strategy.

Publication Date: Nov -19

📋 Highlights
  • 2025 Net Sales Growth:: 16% increase in net sales with adjusted EBITDA margin of 20.8%, driven by Premier Protein’s 15% sales growth and expanded distribution.
  • Q4 Performance:: Net sales reached $648 million (+17% YoY), with adjusted EBITDA of $117 million and a margin of 18.1%.
  • Share Repurchase:: BellRing repurchased ~7% of outstanding shares, enhancing flexibility for reinvestment in growth initiatives.
  • 2026 Guidance:: Targets 4-8% net sales growth and 18% adjusted EBITDA margins, with Premier Protein expected to drive high single-digit sales growth.
  • Q1 Margin Headwinds:: Adjusted EBITDA margins forecasted to decline 280 bps due to 80 bps impact from tariffs, input cost inflation (e.g., whey protein), and pricing pressures.

Segment Performance and Outlook

Premier Protein net sales grew 15%, driven by volume growth from incremental promotional events and distribution gains. The company expects fiscal 2026 net sales growth of 4% to 8%, with adjusted EBITDA margins of 18%. It targets long-term annual net sales growth of 7% to 9% and reiterates its long-term adjusted EBITDA margin algorithm of 18% to 20%. The guidance assumes continued competition and is considered prudent and conservative.

Margin Pressures and Cost Savings

The company expects gross margins to be down due to inflation, tariffs, and pricing. However, cost savings initiatives will be more impactful in the second half of the year. BellRing Brands faces its biggest margin headwinds in Q1, with Q2 also experiencing sizable headwinds, but the second half of the year is expected to be similar to the previous year from a margin perspective.

Valuation and Growth Prospects

With a P/E Ratio of 15.06 and an EV/EBITDA of 12.09, the market seems to have priced in moderate growth expectations. Analysts estimate next year's revenue growth at 8.5%, which is within the company's long-term target range. The company's focus on investing in the business, share repurchases, and M&A opportunities is expected to drive future growth.

Competitive Landscape and Market Share

BellRing Brands discussed its market share and the competitive landscape, noting that it takes a long time to build a national network and supply chain, making it difficult for insurgent brands to expand. However, some of these brands may become competitive threats over time. The company feels good about its business in the long term despite short-term messiness.

Category Trends and Innovation

In the RTD category, BellRing is seeing a shift towards ultrafiltered milk, with competitors launching their own versions. The company is focusing on ready-to-drink shakes and powders, with innovation expected to drive sales and consumption growth. Darcy Davenport believes that the category is maturing, and different consumer preferences are emerging.

3. NewsRoom

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BellRing Brands (BRBR) Investors that Lost Money are Encouraged to Act – Contact BFA Law about its Pending Securities Fraud Investigation

Dec -05

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BRBR NEWS: BellRing Brands Investigated for Securities Fraud after Stock Plummets 18% -- Investors Notified to Contact BFA Law

Dec -03

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BellRing Brands, Inc. (BRBR) Presents at Morgan Stanley Global Consumer & Retail Conference 2025 Transcript

Dec -02

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BellRing Brands: Competitive Intensity Doesn't Erode The Growth Story

Dec -02

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BellRing Brands: Business Transitions Into A More Mature Growth-Phase Company

Dec -02

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BRBR LEGAL ALERT: BellRing Brands Hit with Securities Fraud Investigation due to Inventory Levels -- Investors Notified to Contact BFA Law

Dec -01

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BYND INVESTMENT: Beyond Meat, Inc. Investors with Losses are Reminded to Contact BFA Law about its Ongoing Securities Class Action Investigation

Nov -28

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BellRing Brands to Participate in the Morgan Stanley Global Consumer & Retail Conference

Nov -25

4. Business Breakdown

4.a. Revenues by Country

4.b. Revenues by Segment

5. Expected revenues mid-term growth (7.89%)

6. Segments

Shakes and Other Beverages

Expected Growth: 8%

BellRing Brands, Inc.'s Shakes and Other Beverages segment growth is driven by increasing demand for convenient, healthy, and functional beverages. Rising popularity of plant-based and protein-enriched products, expanding distribution channels, and effective marketing strategies contribute to the 8% growth. Additionally, the company's focus on innovation, such as new flavor launches and packaging improvements, also supports the segment's growth momentum.

Powders

Expected Growth: 7%

Powders from BellRing Brands, Inc. exhibit 7% growth driven by increasing demand for convenient and healthy nutrition, expanding e-commerce channels, and successful product innovation. Additionally, the company's strategic marketing efforts and partnerships with fitness influencers contribute to the segment's growth.

Other

Expected Growth: 10%

BellRing Brands' 10% growth is driven by increasing demand for healthy and convenient food options, successful product innovation, and strategic acquisitions. The company's diversified portfolio, including Premier Protein and Dymatize, benefits from a strong online presence and expanding distribution channels. Additionally, BellRing's focus on e-commerce and digital marketing contributes to its growth momentum.

7. Detailed Products

Ready-to-Drink (RTD) Beverages

BellRing Brands offers a range of RTD beverages, including protein shakes, meal replacement shakes, and other nutritional drinks.

Powdered Protein and Nutrition Products

The company offers a variety of powdered protein and nutrition products, including whey protein, casein protein, and plant-based options.

Specialty Nutrition Products

BellRing Brands offers specialty nutrition products, including probiotics, vitamins, and minerals, designed to support specific health needs.

Contract Manufacturing Services

The company provides contract manufacturing services for other companies, offering expertise in product development, manufacturing, and packaging.

8. BellRing Brands, Inc.'s Porter Forces

Forces Ranking

Threat Of Substitutes

BellRing Brands, Inc. operates in a competitive market with various breakfast cereal brands, but the threat of substitutes is moderate due to customer loyalty and brand recognition.

Bargaining Power Of Customers

BellRing Brands, Inc. has a diverse customer base, and no single customer has significant bargaining power, reducing the threat of customer bargaining power.

Bargaining Power Of Suppliers

BellRing Brands, Inc. relies on a few large suppliers for raw materials, giving them some bargaining power, but the company's size and scale mitigate this threat.

Threat Of New Entrants

The breakfast cereal market has high barriers to entry, including significant capital requirements and established distribution networks, making it difficult for new entrants to compete with BellRing Brands, Inc.

Intensity Of Rivalry

The breakfast cereal market is highly competitive, with many established brands competing for market share, leading to a high intensity of rivalry.

9. SWOT Analysis

10. Capital Structure

10.a. Balance Sheet

10.b. Weighted Average Cost of capital

Value
Debt Weight 160.42%
Debt Cost 8.49%
Equity Weight -60.42%
Equity Cost 8.49%
WACC 8.49%
Leverage -265.50%

11. Quality Control: BellRing Brands, Inc. passed 4 out of 9 key points

12.a Historical Valuation

12.b Price/Earnings Ratio

12.c Margin Valuation

12.d Peers Valuation

Peers Group Analysis

Stock-Card
Lancaster Colony

A-Score: 5.7/10

Value: 3.6

Growth: 5.9

Quality: 7.1

Yield: 4.0

Momentum: 4.0

Volatility: 9.3

1-Year Total Return ->

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Hormel Foods

A-Score: 5.3/10

Value: 5.8

Growth: 4.0

Quality: 5.5

Yield: 7.0

Momentum: 1.0

Volatility: 8.3

1-Year Total Return ->

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McCormick

A-Score: 5.0/10

Value: 3.3

Growth: 4.2

Quality: 6.1

Yield: 5.0

Momentum: 2.5

Volatility: 9.0

1-Year Total Return ->

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Simply Good Foods

A-Score: 4.2/10

Value: 5.6

Growth: 5.4

Quality: 6.6

Yield: 0.0

Momentum: 1.0

Volatility: 6.7

1-Year Total Return ->

Stock-Card
Freshpet

A-Score: 3.3/10

Value: 2.1

Growth: 9.1

Quality: 4.2

Yield: 0.0

Momentum: 0.5

Volatility: 4.0

1-Year Total Return ->

Stock-Card
BellRing Brands

A-Score: 3.1/10

Value: 5.4

Growth: 2.7

Quality: 6.1

Yield: 0.0

Momentum: 0.5

Volatility: 3.7

1-Year Total Return ->

Peers Metrics

12.e Scoring Insights

12.f DCF BETA

Parameters

Short Term Growth

Short term Time

Long-Term Growth

WACC

Target Price

31.17$

Current Price

31.17$

Potential

-0.00%

Expected Cash-Flows