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1. Company Snapshot

1.a. Company Description

Cincinnati Financial Corporation, together with its subsidiaries, provides property casualty insurance products in the United States.The company operates through five segments: Commercial Lines Insurance, Personal Lines Insurance, Excess and Surplus Lines Insurance, Life Insurance, and Investments.The Commercial Lines Insurance segment offers coverage for commercial casualty, commercial property, commercial auto, and workers' compensation.


It also provides director and officer liability insurance, contract and commercial surety bonds, and fidelity bonds; and machinery and equipment coverage.The Personal Lines Insurance segment offers personal auto insurance; homeowner insurance; and dwelling fire, inland marine, personal umbrella liability, and watercraft coverages to individuals.The Excess and Surplus Lines Insurance segment offers commercial casualty insurance that covers businesses for third-party liability from accidents occurring on their premises or arising out of their operations, such as injuries sustained from products; and commercial property insurance, which insures buildings, inventory, equipment, and business income from loss or damage due to various causes, such as fire, wind, hail, water, theft, and vandalism.


The Life Insurance segment provides term life insurance products; universal life insurance products; worksite products, such as term life; and whole life insurance products.The Investments segment invests in fixed-maturity investments, including taxable and tax-exempt bonds, and redeemable preferred stocks; and equity investments comprising common and nonredeemable preferred stocks.The company also offers commercial leasing and financing services; and insurance brokerage services.


Cincinnati Financial Corporation was founded in 1950 and is headquartered in Fairfield, Ohio.

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1.b. Last Insights on CINF

Cincinnati Financial Corporation's recent performance was driven by strong Q2 earnings, fueled by premium gains, investment income, and improved underwriting results. The company's net income surged to $685 million, or $4.34 per share, with non-GAAP operating income of $311 million, or $1.97 per share. A 52.7% EPS increase was largely due to a $380 million after-tax increase in the fair value of equity securities. The board declared an 87 cents-per-share regular quarterly cash dividend, payable October 15, 2025.

1.c. Company Highlights

2. Cincinnati Financial's Strong Q3 Earnings Reflects Robust Underwriting and Investment Performance

Cincinnati Financial Corporation reported a net income of $1.1 billion and non-GAAP operating income of $449 million for the third quarter of 2025. The company's property casualty segment delivered an 88.2% combined ratio, a 9.2 percentage point improvement compared to the same period last year. Earnings per share (EPS) came in at $2.85, significantly beating estimates of $2.01. Revenue growth was driven by a 5% increase in commercial lines net written premiums and a 14% growth in personal lines net written premiums. The company's investment income also grew by 14%, with a 21% increase in bond interest income.

Publication Date: Nov -11

📋 Highlights
  • Record Net Income:: Reported $1.1 billion net income, with $449 million non-GAAP operating income, driven by strong insurance performance and investment gains.
  • Combined Ratio Improvement:: Property casualty combined ratio improved 9.2 pts to 88.2%, with personal lines up 22.1 pts to 88.2% on 14% premium growth.
  • Investment Income Growth:: Investment income rose 14%, bond interest income surged 21%, and equity portfolio net gains hit $8.4 billion.
  • Commercial Auto Reserves:: $10 million unfavorable development linked to 2019–2020 accident years; total reserves near $1 billion.
  • Catastrophe Reinsurance Strategy:: Retain $200 million per event in 2026, purchase 1.6x coverage, maintaining capital discipline and balance sheet protection.

Underwriting Performance

The company's underwriting performance was a key highlight, with a combined ratio of 88.2% for property casualty, driven by improvements in both commercial and personal lines. Commercial lines grew net written premiums by 5% with a 91.1% combined ratio, while personal lines grew net written premiums by 14% with an 88.2% combined ratio. As Steve Spray, CEO, noted, the company's underwriters are executing on a segmentation strategy, prioritizing profit over top-line growth.

Investment Performance

The company's investment portfolio also delivered strong performance, with a 14% growth in investment income and a 21% growth in bond interest income. The total investment portfolio net appreciated value was approximately $8.2 billion, with the equity portfolio in a net gain position of $8.4 billion. The company's focus on higher quality bonds is evident, as it continues to prioritize quality in the portfolio rather than reaching for yield.

Valuation and Outlook

With a Price-to-Book Ratio (P/B) of 1.69, Cincinnati Financial's valuation appears reasonable, especially considering its strong underwriting profitability, as reflected in the 88.2% combined ratio. The company's Dividend Yield stands at 2.06%, providing a relatively stable source of return. Analysts estimate next year's revenue growth at 10.0%, suggesting a positive outlook for the company's continued performance. Given the company's strong capital position and disciplined approach to underwriting and investments, Cincinnati Financial is well-positioned for sustained growth.

3. NewsRoom

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Advisors Asset Management Inc. Has $629,000 Stock Position in Cincinnati Financial Corporation $CINF

Dec -03

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Best Dividend Aristocrats For December 2025

Nov -29

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Advisors Capital Management LLC Invests $211,000 in Cincinnati Financial Corporation $CINF

Nov -17

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The Smartest Dividend Stocks to Buy With $500 Right Now

Nov -15

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The Smartest Dividend Stocks to Buy With $500 Right Now

Nov -15

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Cincinnati Financial Corporation Declares Regular Quarterly Cash Dividend

Nov -14

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42,550 Shares in Cincinnati Financial Corporation $CINF Purchased by ABN Amro Investment Solutions

Nov -14

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CB or CINF: Which Is the Better Value Stock Right Now?

Nov -12

4. Business Breakdown

4.a. Revenues by Country

4.b. Revenues by Segment

5. Expected revenues mid-term growth (1.11%)

6. Segments

Commercial Lines Insurance

Expected Growth: 1.2%

Cincinnati Financial Corporation's Commercial Lines Insurance growth of 1.2% is driven by a strong economy, increased demand for risk management, and a competitive pricing environment. Additionally, the company's strategic expansion into new markets, improved underwriting capabilities, and enhanced digital distribution channels have contributed to this growth.

Personal Lines Insurance

Expected Growth: 0.8%

Cincinnati Financial Corporation's Personal Lines Insurance segment growth of 0.8% is driven by increasing demand for auto and homeowners insurance, expansion into new markets, and strategic partnerships. Additionally, the company's focus on digital transformation, improved underwriting, and enhanced customer experience contribute to the growth.

Investments

Expected Growth: 1.5%

Cincinnati Financial Corporation's 1.5% growth is driven by a combination of factors, including a strong underwriting discipline, favorable reserve development, and a diversified portfolio of commercial and personal lines. Additionally, the company's disciplined capital management, strategic investments, and a solid balance sheet contribute to its steady growth.

Other

Expected Growth: 0.5%

Cincinnati Financial Corporation's 0.5 growth in 'Other' segment is driven by increasing demand for specialty insurance products, expansion into new markets, and strategic partnerships. Additionally, the company's focus on digital transformation and operational efficiency has led to cost savings, which are being reinvested in growth initiatives.

Excess and Surplus Lines Insurance

Expected Growth: 1.1%

Cincinnati Financial Corporation's Excess and Surplus Lines Insurance segment growth of 1.1% is driven by increasing demand for specialty insurance products, expansion into new markets, and strategic partnerships. Additionally, the company's focus on underwriting discipline, risk selection, and pricing strategies have contributed to the growth. Furthermore, the segment's ability to adapt to changing market conditions and regulatory environments has also supported its growth.

Life Insurance

Expected Growth: 0.9%

Cincinnati Financial Corporation's Life Insurance segment growth of 0.9% is driven by increasing demand for term life and whole life insurance products, expansion of distribution channels, and strategic partnerships. Additionally, favorable regulatory environments, rising disposable incomes, and growing awareness of insurance benefits contribute to the segment's growth.

7. Detailed Products

Commercial Lines Insurance

Provides insurance coverage for businesses, including property, liability, and workers' compensation insurance.

Personal Lines Insurance

Offers insurance coverage for individuals, including auto, home, and umbrella insurance.

Excess and Surplus Lines Insurance

Provides specialized insurance coverage for unique or hard-to-place risks, such as high-value homes or unusual business operations.

Life Insurance

Offers life insurance policies, including term life, whole life, and universal life insurance.

Annuities

Provides financial products that offer a steady income stream for a set period or for life.

Reinsurance

Offers reinsurance coverage to other insurance companies, helping them manage their risk and increase their capacity.

8. Cincinnati Financial Corporation's Porter Forces

Forces Ranking

Threat Of Substitutes

Cincinnati Financial Corporation operates in the insurance industry, where substitutes are limited. However, the company faces competition from other insurance providers, which can be considered as substitutes.

Bargaining Power Of Customers

Cincinnati Financial Corporation's customers have limited bargaining power due to the company's strong brand reputation and diversified product offerings.

Bargaining Power Of Suppliers

Cincinnati Financial Corporation has a diversified supplier base, which reduces the bargaining power of individual suppliers. The company's strong financial position also gives it negotiating power over its suppliers.

Threat Of New Entrants

The insurance industry has high barriers to entry, including regulatory requirements and capital requirements. This limits the threat of new entrants to Cincinnati Financial Corporation.

Intensity Of Rivalry

The insurance industry is highly competitive, with many established players competing for market share. Cincinnati Financial Corporation faces intense rivalry from its competitors, which can impact its market share and profitability.

9. SWOT Analysis

10. Capital Structure

10.a. Balance Sheet

10.b. Weighted Average Cost of capital

Value
Debt Weight 6.74%
Debt Cost 7.14%
Equity Weight 93.26%
Equity Cost 7.14%
WACC 7.14%
Leverage 7.22%

11. Quality Control: Cincinnati Financial Corporation passed 7 out of 9 key points

12.a Historical Valuation

12.b Price/Earnings Ratio

12.c Margin Valuation

12.d Peers Valuation

Peers Group Analysis

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WR Berkley

A-Score: 7.0/10

Value: 5.3

Growth: 7.9

Quality: 6.5

Yield: 4.0

Momentum: 8.5

Volatility: 10.0

1-Year Total Return ->

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Mercury General

A-Score: 6.8/10

Value: 7.3

Growth: 6.9

Quality: 6.6

Yield: 6.0

Momentum: 8.0

Volatility: 6.3

1-Year Total Return ->

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CNA Financial

A-Score: 6.8/10

Value: 6.9

Growth: 4.6

Quality: 6.1

Yield: 10.0

Momentum: 3.5

Volatility: 10.0

1-Year Total Return ->

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Cincinnati Financial

A-Score: 6.7/10

Value: 5.4

Growth: 6.4

Quality: 7.8

Yield: 4.0

Momentum: 7.5

Volatility: 9.0

1-Year Total Return ->

Stock-Card
Markel

A-Score: 6.4/10

Value: 7.0

Growth: 7.2

Quality: 7.1

Yield: 0.0

Momentum: 8.0

Volatility: 9.3

1-Year Total Return ->

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Loews

A-Score: 6.1/10

Value: 6.2

Growth: 6.8

Quality: 5.3

Yield: 0.0

Momentum: 8.0

Volatility: 10.0

1-Year Total Return ->

Peers Metrics

12.e Scoring Insights

12.f DCF BETA

Parameters

Short Term Growth

Short term Time

Long-Term Growth

WACC

Target Price

162.3$

Current Price

162.3$

Potential

-0.00%

Expected Cash-Flows