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1. Company Snapshot

1.a. Company Description

Crocs, Inc., together with its subsidiaries, designs, develops, manufactures, markets, and distributes casual lifestyle footwear and accessories for men, women, and children.It offers various footwear products, including clogs, sandals, slides, flip-flops, boots, flats, wedges, platforms, socks, shoe charms, loafers, sneakers, and slippers under the Crocs brand name.The company sells its products in approximately 85 countries through wholesalers, retail stores, e-commerce sites, and third-party marketplaces.


As of December 31, 2021, it had 193 outlet stores, 107 retail stores, 373 company-operated stores, 73 kiosks and store-in-stores, and 14 company-operated e-commerce sites.The company serves in the Americas, the Asia Pacific, Europe, the Middle East, and Africa.Crocs, Inc.


was founded in 1999 and is headquartered in Broomfield, Colorado.

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1.b. Last Insights on CROX

Breaking News: Crocs Inc reported Q4 earnings with adjusted earnings of $2.29 per share beating the consensus estimate of $1.92. Revenue and EPS exceeded Wall Street estimates. This compares to earnings of $2.52 per share a year ago. The company provided optimistic FY26 guidance. Shares rose nearly 20% following the earnings report. Some analysts have raised their price targets. Recommendations from analysts include a buy rating from Wedbush with a price target of $180. Other firms have also reaffirmed their buy ratings.

1.c. Company Highlights

2. Crocs' 2025 Earnings: A Mixed Bag with Growth Ahead

Crocs, Inc. reported its fourth quarter and full-year 2025 results, with revenue exceeding $4,000,000,000, driven by the Crocs brand's eighth consecutive year of growth, particularly in international markets where revenues grew double digits. The company's direct-to-consumer revenue was over half of the enterprise revenue and grew faster than wholesale. For 2025, enterprise revenue was down approximately 2% to prior year, with adjusted diluted earnings per share at $12.51, decreasing 5% to prior year. The actual EPS came out at $2.29, beating estimates of $1.92. Adjusted gross margin was 58.3%, down 50 basis points from last year, while adjusted operating margin was 22.3%, down 330 basis points from prior year.

Publication Date: Feb -16

📋 Highlights
  • Full-Year Revenue:: Total revenue hit $4.0 billion in 2025, with Crocs brand contributing $3.3 billion and HeyDude $715 million.
  • International Growth:: Crocs brand saw double-digit international revenue growth, driven by 30% growth in China and expansion into Japan, Western Europe, and India.
  • Free Cash Flow & Capital Allocation:: Generated $659 million in free cash flow, reducing debt by $128 million and repurchasing 6.5 million shares for $577 million.
  • Direct-to-Consumer Momentum:: DTC revenue exceeded 50% of total revenue, growing 3% in 2025, outpacing wholesale and driving brand relevance through digital engagement.
  • 2026 Guidance:: Projects Crocs brand revenue to grow 0-2% (10% international growth expected), with HeyDude revenue declining 7-9% post-inventory cleanup, but operating margin to expand modestly to 22.3%+.

Segment Performance

The Crocs brand had a strong holiday season, driven by positive consumer response to new product introductions, with international sales growing double digits and North America outperforming expectations. HeyDude prioritized efforts in 2025 around stabilizing the brand in North America, with an uptick in brand awareness and purchase intent. HeyDude revenue was down 14% for the year, while Crocs brand revenue was up 1%, driven by a 3% increase in direct-to-consumer sales.

Outlook and Guidance

Crocs' enterprise revenue growth for 2026 is expected to be up slightly to down 1%, with the Crocs brand revenue anticipated to be flat to up 2%, driven by 10% international growth. HeyDude revenue is expected to decline by 7-9% in 2026 but is anticipated to return to growth in the second half of the year after a $45 million inventory cleanup in the second half of 2025. The company expects adjusted diluted EPS to be $12.88-$13.35.

Valuation and Efficiency

With a P/E Ratio of -61.27 and a P/S Ratio of 1.24, the market appears to have mixed expectations for the company's future growth. The company's focus on organizational efficiency and spend efficiency is aimed at keeping SG&A flat year over year. The $100 million in identified cost savings is expected to be balanced between cost of goods sold and SG&A, which will help offset investments in the direct-to-consumer channel. Analysts estimate next year's revenue growth at 2.4%.

Cash Flow and Debt

The company generated strong free cash flow of $659,000,000 in 2025, enabling it to pay down $128,000,000 in debt and buy back approximately 6,500,000 shares for $577,000,000. The company's liquidity position remains strong, with a Free Cash Flow Yield of 13.11%. The Net Debt / EBITDA ratio is 4.33, indicating a relatively high debt burden compared to earnings.

3. NewsRoom

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Blueshift Dumps 34,000 CROX Shares Worth $2.9 Million

Feb -14

Source: fool.com

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Crocs: Cleaning Up Wholesale, Share Repurchases At A Deeply Discounted Valuation

Feb -13

Source: seekingalpha.com

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Crocs: Operational Discipline Delivered Better-Than-Expected Guidance Despite Challenging Macro Conditions

Feb -13

Source: seekingalpha.com

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Crocs Analysts Boost Their Forecasts After Upbeat Q4 Results

Feb -13

Source: benzinga.com

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Crocs Update Post Q4 Earnings - Still A Cheap Buy

Feb -13

Source: seekingalpha.com

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Crocs: Uninspiring Sales, But The Stock Is Cheap (Rating Upgrade)

Feb -13

Source: seekingalpha.com

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Crocs Stock Soared Nearly 20% on Thursday— What Investors Need to Know

Feb -12

Source: investopedia.com

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Crocs' Q4 Earnings Top Estimates, Direct-to-Consumer Revenues Up 4.7%

Feb -12

Source: zacks.com

4. Business Breakdown

4.a. Revenues by Country

4.b. Revenues by Segment

5. Expected revenues mid-term growth (6.52%)

6. Segments

Crocs Brand

Expected Growth: 7%

Crocs' 7% growth is driven by increasing demand for comfort footwear, successful marketing campaigns, and strategic partnerships. The brand's expansion into new markets, particularly in Asia, has also contributed to growth. Additionally, the company's focus on digital transformation, including e-commerce and social media engagement, has enhanced customer experience and driven sales.

HEYDUDE Brand

Expected Growth: 5%

HEYDUDE's 5% growth is driven by increasing popularity among younger demographics, expansion into new markets, and strategic partnerships. The brand's comfort-focused and casual footwear resonates with consumers seeking relaxed, laid-back styles. Additionally, Crocs, Inc.'s effective marketing and e-commerce strategies contribute to the brand's growth.

7. Detailed Products

Clogs

Classic, comfortable, and iconic footwear made from proprietary Croslite material

Sandals

Comfortable, lightweight, and easy-to-clean sandals for warm weather

Slides

Easy-on, easy-off footwear with a contoured footbed for comfort

Boots

Waterproof, insulated, and comfortable boots for cold weather

Wellness Series

Footwear designed for comfort and wellness, featuring arch support and cushioning

Jibbitz Charms

Customizable charms that can be attached to Crocs shoes

Crocs At Work

Slip-resistant, comfortable, and easy-to-clean footwear for work environments

8. Crocs, Inc.'s Porter Forces

Forces Ranking

Threat Of Substitutes

Crocs, Inc. faces moderate threat from substitutes due to the presence of alternative footwear options such as sneakers, sandals, and boots from other brands.

Bargaining Power Of Customers

Crocs, Inc. has a large customer base, but individual customers do not have significant bargaining power due to the company's strong brand presence and wide distribution network.

Bargaining Power Of Suppliers

Crocs, Inc. has a diversified supplier base, which reduces the bargaining power of individual suppliers. The company's large scale of operations also gives it negotiating power over suppliers.

Threat Of New Entrants

The footwear industry has high barriers to entry, including significant capital requirements, established distribution networks, and strong brand recognition. This makes it difficult for new entrants to compete with Crocs, Inc.

Intensity Of Rivalry

The footwear industry is highly competitive, with many established brands competing for market share. Crocs, Inc. faces intense rivalry from brands such as Nike, Adidas, and Vans, which can lead to pricing pressure and advertising wars.

9. SWOT Analysis

Strength

Weaknesses

Opportunities

Threats

10. Capital Structure

10.a. Balance Sheet

10.b. Weighted Average Cost of capital

Value
Debt Weight 54.29%
Debt Cost 8.94%
Equity Weight 45.71%
Equity Cost 14.14%
WACC 11.32%
Leverage 118.75%

11. Quality Control: Crocs, Inc. passed 7 out of 9 key points

12.a Historical Valuation

12.b Price/Earnings Ratio

12.c Margin Valuation

12.d Peers Valuation

Peers Group Analysis

Stock-Card
Deckers

A-Score: 4.4/10

Value: 4.6

Growth: 9.1

Quality: 8.5

Yield: 0.0

Momentum: 0.5

Volatility: 3.7

1-Year Total Return ->

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Stock-Card
Nike

A-Score: 4.2/10

Value: 2.0

Growth: 3.9

Quality: 5.9

Yield: 4.0

Momentum: 3.5

Volatility: 5.7

1-Year Total Return ->

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Stock-Card
Crocs

A-Score: 4.0/10

Value: 4.4

Growth: 8.9

Quality: 5.0

Yield: 0.0

Momentum: 3.0

Volatility: 3.0

1-Year Total Return ->

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Stock-Card
Steven Madden

A-Score: 4.0/10

Value: 2.7

Growth: 5.2

Quality: 4.4

Yield: 4.0

Momentum: 3.5

Volatility: 4.3

1-Year Total Return ->

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Stock-Card
On

A-Score: 3.5/10

Value: 0.6

Growth: 9.9

Quality: 7.2

Yield: 0.0

Momentum: 2.0

Volatility: 1.3

1-Year Total Return ->

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Stock-Card
Adidas

A-Score: 3.4/10

Value: 3.0

Growth: 4.4

Quality: 5.3

Yield: 1.2

Momentum: 1.5

Volatility: 4.7

1-Year Total Return ->

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Peers Metrics

12.e Scoring Insights

12.f DCF BETA

Parameters

Short Term Growth

Short term Time

Long-Term Growth

WACC

Target Price

96.88$

Current Price

96.88$

Potential

-0.00%

Expected Cash-Flows