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1. Company Snapshot

1.a. Company Description

Kite Realty Group Trust is a full-service, vertically integrated real estate investment trust (REIT) that provides communities with convenient and beneficial shopping experiences.We connect consumers to retailers in desirable markets through our portfolio of neighborhood, community, and lifestyle centers.Using operational, development, and redevelopment expertise, we continuously optimize our portfolio to maximize value and return to our shareholders.

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1.b. Last Insights on KRG

Negative drivers behind Kite Realty Group Trust's recent performance include a $66.2 million impairment charge associated with an asset held for sale, which negatively impacted net income for the year ended December 31, 2024. Additionally, the company's high medical care ratios, which increased by 14.1% year-over-year, likely hurt its Q1 earnings. Furthermore, the company's tenant diversification includes some vulnerable tenants susceptible to economic downturns and e-commerce competition, which may impact occupancy rates and revenue.

1.c. Company Highlights

2. Kite Realty Beats Expectations with Strong Q3 2025 Earnings

Kite Realty Group Trust (KRG) reported its third-quarter 2025 earnings, with core FFO per share of $0.52, exceeding expectations of $0.51. The company's same-property NOI increased 2.1% year-over-year, driven primarily by a 2.6% increase in minimum rent. NAREIT FFO per share came in at $0.53. KRG raised the midpoints of its 2025 NAREIT and core FFO per share guidance by $0.02 each and increased the midpoint of its same-property NOI growth assumption by 50 basis points.

Publication Date: Nov -02

📋 Highlights
  • FFO Per Share Exceeds Estimates: NAREIT FFO ($0.53) and core FFO ($0.52) both surpassed expectations, with core FFO up 2.0% year-over-year.
  • Same-Property NOI Growth Accelerates: Achieved 2.1% year-over-year growth, driven by 2.6% minimum rent increases and a 60-basis-point sequential rise in lease rates.
  • Guidance Upgraded: Raised 2025 NAREIT/core FFO midpoint by $0.02 each and same-property NOI growth guidance by 50 bps to reflect stronger performance.
  • Share Repurchases and Dividend Hike: Repurchased $75 million in shares (3.4M shares at $22.35 avg.) and increased dividend by 7.4% to $0.29 per share.
  • Disposition Pipeline Activated: Targeting $500 million in asset sales (larger-format centers/power centers) by year-end, prioritizing reinvestment into higher-yielding opportunities.

Operational Highlights

The company's lease rate increased 60 basis points sequentially, driven by demand for space across the portfolio, with embedded rent bumps of 178 basis points. KRG executed 7 new anchor leases, including with Whole Foods, Crate & Barrel, Nordstrom Rack, and HomeSense. The company is focusing on curating a dynamic merchandising mix and driving traffic to its centers.

Capital Allocation and Balance Sheet

KRG has a disposition pipeline of approximately $500 million, primarily consisting of larger-format centers and power centers, with a goal to complete most transactions by year-end. The company has repurchased 3.4 million shares at an average price of $22.35 for approximately $75 million, with plans to redeploy proceeds into 1031 acquisitions, debt reduction, share repurchases, and/or special dividends. KRG's balance sheet remains strong, with a long-term leverage target of low to mid-5x net debt-to-EBITDA.

Valuation and Growth Prospects

With a P/E Ratio of 34.82 and an EV/EBITDA of 22.23, the market is pricing in a certain level of growth for KRG. Analysts estimate next year's revenue growth at 1.2%. The company's Dividend Yield stands at 4.88%, providing a relatively attractive return for income investors. As KRG continues to optimize its portfolio and redeploy proceeds from asset sales, investors will be watching to see if the company can meet its long-term cruising speed of 2.75% to 3.75% same-property NOI growth.

Portfolio Diversification and Strength

The conversation around KRG's portfolio diversification is driven by its strength, which is attracting a deeper pool of retailers. This has enabled KRG to work with strong landlords across multiple locations, creating a virtuous cycle of tenant demand. 12 new brands have been added to the mix, including Adidas, Crate & Barrel, and T.J. Maxx, representing a diversification of brands rather than changes in store size or format.

3. NewsRoom

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Why This Big Real Estate Investor Just Walked Away From an $18 Million Kite Realty Stake

Nov -24

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Kite Realty Group Trust (NYSE:KRG) Receives $25.88 Consensus Target Price from Analysts

Nov -18

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Buried Treasure: Your Map To 13 Strong-Yielding Bargain REITs

Nov -17

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Allworth Financial LP Has $381,000 Stock Holdings in Kite Realty Group Trust $KRG

Nov -17

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Bailard Inc. Decreases Stake in Kite Realty Group Trust $KRG

Nov -15

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The End Of The REIT Bear Market Is Likely Near

Nov -11

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Shopping Center REITs Arbitrage Public To Private Asset Pricing Spread

Nov -05

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Kite Realty Group (KRG) Upgraded to Buy: Here's What You Should Know

Nov -05

4. Business Breakdown

4.a. Revenues by Country

4.b. Revenues by Segment

5. Expected revenues mid-term growth (3.00%)

6. Segments

Rental Income

Expected Growth: 3.0%

Rental income growth of 3.0% for Kite Realty Group Trust is driven by a strong demand for industrial and office spaces, fueled by e-commerce growth and urbanization. Additionally, strategic acquisitions and redevelopment of existing properties contribute to the increase in rental income.

Other Property-related Revenue

Expected Growth: 2.8%

Kite Realty Group Trust's 2.8% growth in Other Property-related Revenue is driven by increasing demand for third-party services, expansion of existing client relationships, and strategic acquisitions. Additionally, the company's focus on mixed-use development and redevelopment projects has led to higher revenue from parking, storage, and other ancillary services.

Fee Income

Expected Growth: 3.2%

Kite Realty Group Trust's 3.2% fee income growth is driven by increasing demand for commercial properties, strategic acquisitions, and expansion of third-party services. Additionally, the company's focus on high-growth markets, such as e-commerce and healthcare, contributes to its revenue growth.

7. Detailed Products

Office Properties

Kite Realty Group Trust owns and operates a diverse portfolio of office properties, providing tenants with high-quality spaces to conduct business.

Industrial Properties

The company's industrial portfolio comprises warehouses, distribution centers, and light industrial facilities, catering to the logistics and supply chain needs of businesses.

Retail Properties

Kite Realty Group Trust's retail portfolio features shopping centers, strip centers, and single-tenant retail properties, offering a range of retail spaces for various businesses.

Mixed-Use Properties

The company's mixed-use properties combine office, retail, and residential spaces, creating vibrant, walkable communities.

Land Development

Kite Realty Group Trust acquires and develops raw land, entitling and preparing it for future development, including residential, commercial, and industrial projects.

8. Kite Realty Group Trust's Porter Forces

Forces Ranking

Threat Of Substitutes

Kite Realty Group Trust operates in a competitive industry, but the threat of substitutes is moderate due to the unique services offered by the company.

Bargaining Power Of Customers

Kite Realty Group Trust has a diverse customer base, which reduces the bargaining power of individual customers.

Bargaining Power Of Suppliers

Kite Realty Group Trust relies on a few key suppliers, which gives them some bargaining power, but the company's scale and diversification mitigate this risk.

Threat Of New Entrants

The commercial real estate industry has high barriers to entry, making it difficult for new entrants to compete with established players like Kite Realty Group Trust.

Intensity Of Rivalry

The commercial real estate industry is highly competitive, with many established players competing for market share, which increases the intensity of rivalry for Kite Realty Group Trust.

9. SWOT Analysis

10. Capital Structure

10.a. Balance Sheet

10.b. Weighted Average Cost of capital

Value
Debt Weight 44.22%
Debt Cost 4.06%
Equity Weight 55.78%
Equity Cost 10.37%
WACC 7.58%
Leverage 79.29%

11. Quality Control: Kite Realty Group Trust passed 4 out of 9 key points

12.a Historical Valuation

12.b Price/Earnings Ratio

12.c Margin Valuation

12.d Peers Valuation

Peers Group Analysis

Stock-Card
Brixmor Property Group

A-Score: 6.6/10

Value: 4.2

Growth: 5.2

Quality: 7.9

Yield: 8.0

Momentum: 5.0

Volatility: 9.0

1-Year Total Return ->

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Regency Centers

A-Score: 6.2/10

Value: 2.9

Growth: 4.3

Quality: 6.7

Yield: 8.0

Momentum: 5.0

Volatility: 10.0

1-Year Total Return ->

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Phillips Edison

A-Score: 6.1/10

Value: 3.0

Growth: 5.7

Quality: 7.1

Yield: 7.0

Momentum: 3.5

Volatility: 10.0

1-Year Total Return ->

Stock-Card
Agree Realty

A-Score: 5.9/10

Value: 2.8

Growth: 4.8

Quality: 6.7

Yield: 7.0

Momentum: 4.0

Volatility: 10.0

1-Year Total Return ->

Stock-Card
Kite Realty Trust

A-Score: 5.8/10

Value: 4.1

Growth: 5.9

Quality: 4.8

Yield: 8.0

Momentum: 3.0

Volatility: 9.0

1-Year Total Return ->

Stock-Card
Kimco Realty

A-Score: 5.7/10

Value: 3.3

Growth: 3.3

Quality: 6.5

Yield: 8.0

Momentum: 4.0

Volatility: 9.3

1-Year Total Return ->

Peers Metrics

12.e Scoring Insights

12.f DCF BETA

Parameters

Short Term Growth

Short term Time

Long-Term Growth

WACC

Target Price

22.64$

Current Price

22.64$

Potential

-0.00%

Expected Cash-Flows