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1. Company Snapshot

1.a. Company Description

MercadoLibre, Inc.operates online commerce platforms in Latin America.It operates Mercado Libre Marketplace, an automated online commerce platform that enables businesses, merchants, and individuals to list merchandise and conduct sales and purchases online; and Mercado Pago FinTech platform, a financial technology solution platform, which facilitates transactions on and off its marketplaces by providing a mechanism that allows its users to send and receive payments online, as well as allows users to transfer money through their websites or on the apps.


The company also offers Mercado Fondo that allows users to invest funds deposited in their Mercado Pago accounts; Mercado Credito, which extends loans to certain merchants and consumers; and Mercado Envios logistics solution that enables sellers on its platform to utilize third-party carriers and other logistics service providers, as well as fulfillment and warehousing services for sellers.In addition, it provides Mercado Libre Classifieds, an online classified listing service, where users can list and purchase motor vehicles, real estate, and services; Mercado Libre Ads, an advertising platform, which enables large retailers and brands to promote their products and services on the Internet; and Mercado Shops, an online storefronts solution that enables users to set-up, manage, and promote their own digital stores.MercadoLibre, Inc.


was incorporated in 1999 and is headquartered in Montevideo, Uruguay.

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1.b. Last Insights on MELI

Have nothing to say about that one ...

1.c. Company Highlights

2. MercadoLibre's Q4 Earnings: A Strong Finish to a Record Year

MercadoLibre's fourth-quarter net revenues grew 45% year-over-year, driven by the acceleration of its commerce business and the rapid adoption of fintech services. The company's full-year revenue growth was 39%, with income from operations growing 22% for the full year. Earnings per share (EPS) came in at $11.03, slightly below estimates of $11.45. Margin compression reflects investments in areas with the greatest long-term growth opportunity, such as shipping and credit card expansion.

Publication Date: Feb -26

📋 Highlights
  • Net Revenue Growth:: Q4 net revenues surged 45% YoY, driven by commerce acceleration and fintech adoption, with Brazil contributing a 45% YoY top-line increase.
  • AI-Driven Advertising:: AI-powered tools in advertising generated 67% revenue growth, enhancing seller returns through automated bidding and campaign management.
  • Credit Portfolio Expansion:: Mercado Pago's credit portfolio nearly doubled YoY to $12.5 billion, with assets under management reaching $19 billion at 78% YoY growth.
  • Credit Card Issuance:: Credit cards issued tripled from 1.5 million in Q2 to 3 million in Q4, with Brazil driving early growth and Argentina/Mexico fueling Q4 expansion.
  • Shipping Efficiency Improvements:: Lower shipping thresholds in Brazil boosted growth metrics, while volume and tech advancements reduced costs and improved the new shipping model's cost correlation.

Commerce and Fintech Growth

In Brazil, GMV grew 35% year-over-year, alongside a 45% increase in sold items. The company's investments in artificial intelligence are driving revenue growth, particularly in advertising, where AI-powered bidding algorithms and automated campaign tools generated better returns for sellers, driving 67% growth. AI is also transforming the effectiveness of the acquiring sales force, with acquiring TPV growing 25% in Brazil and 50% in Mexico.

Credit Portfolio Expansion

Mercado Pago's credit portfolio nearly doubled year-over-year to $12.5 billion. Assets under management are close to $19 billion, growing at 78% year-over-year. The company's credit book is growing at 90%, driven by healthy growth and pricing risk accordingly. The integration of credit card offers in the checkout and improved credit models have driven growth in credit card usage.

Valuation and Outlook

With a P/E Ratio of 44.88 and an EV/EBITDA of 24.22, the market is pricing in significant growth expectations. Analysts estimate next year's revenue growth at 22.8%. Given the company's strong track record of growth and its expanding presence in Latin America's e-commerce and fintech landscape, it's reasonable to expect continued momentum. The company's focus on building its own shopping assistant to provide the best end-to-end experience for consumers is also a positive development.

Key Drivers and Risks

The synergy between the marketplace and Mercado Pago is significant, with double-dipping opportunities. However, the credit card business is not yet profitable on average but is expected to be so as it matures. In Brazil, cohorts older than 2 years are already profitable at a Net Interest Margin After Losses (NIMAL) level. The company's investments in technology to improve the product discovery process and drive online retail penetration in Latin America are also a key driver of growth.

3. NewsRoom

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Pictet Loads Up MercadoLibre With 3,500 Shares Worth $6.8 Million

17:10

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MercadoLibre Stock Is Down 9% in 2026 but Wall Street Still Sees 36% Upside

12:30

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Market on Sale: 2 Stocks Worth Buying With $1,000 Amid the Chaos

07:52

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Massachusetts Financial Services Co. MA Acquires 4,321 Shares of MercadoLibre, Inc. $MELI

Apr -13

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MercadoLibre, Inc. $MELI Holdings Boosted by Baillie Gifford & Co.

Apr -13

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2 Monster Stocks to Double Up On Right Now Before They Rebound

Apr -13

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MercadoLibre Balances Scale and Profitability: Hold or Fold the Stock?

Apr -10

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MercadoLibre Is Investing Heavily in AI. Will This Bet Pay Off for the Stock in 2026 and Beyond?

Apr -10

4. Business Breakdown

4.a. Revenues by Country

4.b. Revenues by Segment

5. Expected revenues mid-term growth (24.40%)

6. Segments

Internet Software & Services

Expected Growth: 24.4%

MercadoLibre's dominance in Latin America's growing e-commerce market, driven by increasing internet penetration, mobile adoption, and a growing middle class, will fuel its online marketplace services growth.

7. Detailed Products

Mercado Pago

An online payment system that allows users to send and receive payments securely

Mercado Libre Marketplace

An e-commerce platform that allows individuals and businesses to buy and sell goods

Mercado Envios

A logistics and shipping service that allows sellers to send packages to buyers

Mercado Ads

A digital advertising platform that allows businesses to promote their products and services

Mercado Shops

An e-commerce platform that allows businesses to create their own online stores

Mercado Crédito

A financial services platform that provides credit and financing options to buyers and sellers

8. MercadoLibre, Inc.'s Porter Forces

Forces Ranking

Threat Of Substitutes

MercadoLibre's business model is based on providing a platform for buyers and sellers to interact, which makes it difficult for substitutes to emerge. However, the rise of social media and other online platforms could potentially threaten MercadoLibre's market share.

Bargaining Power Of Customers

MercadoLibre's customers have low bargaining power due to the company's dominant position in the Latin American e-commerce market. Additionally, the company's platform provides a wide range of products and services, making it difficult for customers to switch to alternative platforms.

Bargaining Power Of Suppliers

MercadoLibre's suppliers, including sellers and logistics providers, have some bargaining power due to the company's reliance on them to provide products and services. However, the company's scale and market position give it some negotiating power to maintain favorable terms.

Threat Of New Entrants

The threat of new entrants is low due to the significant barriers to entry in the Latin American e-commerce market, including the need for significant investments in technology, logistics, and marketing. Additionally, MercadoLibre's established brand and market position make it difficult for new entrants to gain traction.

Intensity Of Rivalry

The intensity of rivalry in the Latin American e-commerce market is high, with several players competing for market share. However, MercadoLibre's dominant position and strong brand give it a competitive advantage, allowing it to maintain its market share despite intense competition.

9. SWOT Analysis

10. Capital Structure

10.a. Balance Sheet

10.b. Weighted Average Cost of capital

Value
Debt Weight 64.81%
Debt Cost 8.13%
Equity Weight 35.19%
Equity Cost 12.04%
WACC 9.50%
Leverage 184.21%

11. Quality Control: MercadoLibre, Inc. passed 6 out of 9 key points

12.a Historical Valuation

12.b Price/Earnings Ratio

12.c Margin Valuation

12.d Peers Valuation

Peers Group Analysis

Stock-Card
PDD

A-Score: 6.8/10

Value: 4.2

Growth: 9.8

Quality: 8.9

Yield: 0.0

Momentum: 9.0

Volatility: 9.0

1-Year Total Return ->

Stock-Card
AutoZone

A-Score: 5.9/10

Value: 4.4

Growth: 7.2

Quality: 5.9

Yield: 0.0

Momentum: 8.5

Volatility: 9.3

1-Year Total Return ->

Stock-Card
eBay

A-Score: 5.9/10

Value: 3.3

Growth: 6.1

Quality: 7.0

Yield: 4.0

Momentum: 8.5

Volatility: 6.3

1-Year Total Return ->

Stock-Card
O'Reilly Automotive

A-Score: 5.9/10

Value: 3.2

Growth: 7.4

Quality: 6.0

Yield: 0.0

Momentum: 8.5

Volatility: 10.0

1-Year Total Return ->

Stock-Card
Tractor Supply

A-Score: 5.2/10

Value: 2.6

Growth: 7.3

Quality: 5.4

Yield: 3.0

Momentum: 4.5

Volatility: 8.7

1-Year Total Return ->

Stock-Card
MercadoLibre

A-Score: 5.0/10

Value: 1.4

Growth: 8.7

Quality: 7.1

Yield: 0.0

Momentum: 5.5

Volatility: 7.6

1-Year Total Return ->

Peers Metrics

12.e Scoring Insights

12.f DCF BETA

Parameters

Short Term Growth

Short term Time

Long-Term Growth

WACC

Target Price

1840.66$

Current Price

1840.66$

Potential

-0.00%

Expected Cash-Flows