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1. Company Snapshot

1.a. Company Description

Outfront Media Inc.leverages the power of technology, location and creativity to connect brands with consumers outside of their homes through one of the largest and most diverse sets of billboard, transit, and mobile assets in North America.Through its technology platform, Outfront Media Inc.


will fundamentally change the ways advertisers engage audiences on-the-go.

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1.b. Last Insights on OUT

OUTFRONT Media's recent momentum is fueled by its diversified ad network, digital shift, and new tech partnerships. The company's acquisition strategy and broad ad footprint have also contributed to its growth. Institutional investors, such as Gabelli Funds LLC, have increased their holdings, with a 296.9% stake increase. OUTFRONT Media's digital expansion, strategic buys, and diversified ad footprint strengthen its long-term growth outlook. The company has also been assigned an average rating of "Buy" by analysts. Additionally, OUTFRONT Media has secured new partnerships, such as its official out-of-home media partnership with the ABB FIA Formula E World Championship.

1.c. Company Highlights

2. OUTFRONT Media's Q3 2025 Earnings: Strong Transit Revenue Growth

OUTFRONT Media reported a 3.5% increase in consolidated revenues and a 17% rise in OIBDA to $137 million for the third quarter of 2025. Adjusted Funds From Operations (AFFO) grew 24% to $100 million. Earnings per share (EPS) came in at $0.57, beating estimates of $0.5. The revenue growth was largely driven by a 24% increase in transit revenue, with the New York MTA segment surging 37%. Billboard revenues, however, declined 2.2% due to exited contracts in New York and LA, but would have grown over 1% excluding these contracts. Digital revenues increased by over 12% and now represent 35.4% of total revenues. The OIBDA margin expanded, and the billboard adjusted OIBDA margin rose 170 basis points to 39.5%.

Publication Date: Nov -10

📋 Highlights
  • Revenue & Profit Growth: Consolidated revenues rose 3.5%, OIBDA surged 17% to $137M, and AFFO grew 24% to $100M, reflecting strong operational performance.
  • Transit Revenue Surge: Transit revenue jumped 24%, led by a 37% increase at the New York MTA, offsetting declines in billboard revenue (-2.2%) from contract exits in NY/LA.
  • Digital Momentum: Digital revenues rose over 12%, accounting for 35.4% of total revenue, signaling a successful shift toward tech-driven solutions.
  • Margins & Guidance: Billboard adjusted OIBDA margin climbed 170 bps to 39.5%, while AFFO guidance was raised to high single-digit growth for 2025.
  • Strategic Expansion: A $21M capex plan converted 29 new digital boards, partnered with AWS for inventory optimization, and secured major brands like Capital One and Chase via transit-focused growth teams.

Business Momentum and Strategic Developments

The company announced a strategic partnership with AWS to enhance the planning, buying, and measurement of its inventory. This move is expected to drive further growth in its digital segment. OUTFRONT's transit business has seen significant momentum, driven by a dedicated growth team that has attracted major brands like Capital One, Chase, and Unilever. The company views the transit medium as particularly exciting for these brands due to its specificity. As the company's CFO mentioned, the focus on sales, marketing, product marketing, and customer success has been key to this growth.

Outlook and Growth Opportunities

The company expects fourth-quarter revenue growth to slightly improve from Q3, with consolidated revenues projected to grow in the low to mid-single digits. OUTFRONT is optimistic about its relationships with major studios and its ability to gain share from competitors in the entertainment category, which is expected to recover in 2026. The World Cup presents an opportunity for brand experiences, with significant enterprise brands committing to sports sponsorship. The company generated $7-8 million in incremental revenue from temporary permitting for the Super Bowl and plans to extend this practice.

Valuation and Dividend

OUTFRONT Media's current valuation metrics indicate a P/E Ratio of 27.09 and a Dividend Yield of 8.18%. The EV/EBITDA ratio stands at 21.31, suggesting that the company's valuation is relatively high. However, the dividend yield is attractive, indicating a potentially stable return for investors. The net leverage has improved to 4.7x, and the dividend was maintained at $0.30. Analysts estimate next year's revenue growth at 3.0%, which may not be sufficient to justify the current valuation multiples.

3. NewsRoom

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OUTFRONT Expands Sports Marketing Footprint as Official Out-of-Home Media Partner of the ABB FIA Formula E World Championship

Feb -03

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OUT or PSA: Which Is the Better Value Stock Right Now?

Jan -29

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Campbell & CO Investment Adviser LLC Sells 22,265 Shares of OUTFRONT Media Inc. $OUT

Jan -24

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Outfront Media Surges 40% in One Year, Then Gets Cut Loose Despite 'Exceptional Performance'

Jan -23

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OUTFRONT Media To Report 2025 Fourth Quarter and Full Year Results on February 25, 2026

Jan -21

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5 Reasons to Add OUTFRONT Media Stock to Your Portfolio Now

Jan -16

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Is OUTFRONT Media Stock Still a Buy After Its 36% Rally?

Jan -14

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U.S. Equity REITs Trade At Median 15% Discount To Analyst Price Targets

Jan -10

4. Business Breakdown

4.a. Revenues by Country

4.b. Revenues by Segment

5. Expected revenues mid-term growth (2.00%)

6. Segments

United States Media

Expected Growth: 2.0%

Outfront Media Inc.'s 2.0% growth in the United States Media segment is driven by increasing demand for outdoor advertising, particularly in urban areas, and the company's strategic expansion into digital displays. Additionally, growing consumer spending and a rebound in travel and tourism are contributing to the segment's growth.

Other

Expected Growth: 2.0%

Outfront Media Inc.'s 2.0% growth in 'Other' segment is driven by increasing demand for digital out-of-home advertising, expansion of its mobile and digital product offerings, and strategic partnerships with key brands. Additionally, the company's focus on data-driven advertising solutions and growing presence in high-growth markets also contribute to this growth.

7. Detailed Products

Billboard Advertising

Large format outdoor advertising displays that target high-traffic areas, such as highways, city centers, and shopping districts.

Transit Shelter Advertising

Advertising displays located at bus shelters, train stations, and other transit hubs, targeting commuters and pedestrians.

Mall Advertising

Indoor and outdoor advertising displays located in shopping malls, targeting shoppers and families.

Airport Advertising

Advertising displays located in airport terminals, targeting travelers and business professionals.

Digital Out-of-Home (DOOH) Advertising

Digital displays located in high-traffic areas, such as malls, airports, and city centers, offering dynamic and interactive advertising.

Spectaculars and Large Format Displays

Large, high-impact displays located in iconic locations, such as Times Square or major intersections.

8. Outfront Media Inc.'s Porter Forces

Forces Ranking

Threat Of Substitutes

Outfront Media Inc. operates in the outdoor advertising industry, which has a moderate threat of substitutes. While there are alternative forms of advertising, such as online and print media, outdoor advertising provides a unique platform for reaching a large audience.

Bargaining Power Of Customers

Outfront Media Inc. has a diverse customer base, including national and local advertisers. While some customers may have bargaining power, the company's large scale and diversified customer base mitigate this risk.

Bargaining Power Of Suppliers

Outfront Media Inc. has a strong negotiating position with its suppliers, including landlords and municipalities. The company's scale and long-term contracts reduce its dependence on individual suppliers.

Threat Of New Entrants

The outdoor advertising industry has high barriers to entry, including significant capital expenditures and regulatory hurdles. This limits the threat of new entrants and provides a competitive advantage to established players like Outfront Media Inc.

Intensity Of Rivalry

The outdoor advertising industry is highly competitive, with several large players competing for market share. Outfront Media Inc. faces intense competition from companies like Clear Channel Outdoor and Lamar Advertising.

9. SWOT Analysis

10. Capital Structure

10.a. Balance Sheet

10.b. Weighted Average Cost of capital

Value
Debt Weight 80.08%
Debt Cost 3.95%
Equity Weight 19.92%
Equity Cost 13.28%
WACC 5.81%
Leverage 402.09%

11. Quality Control: Outfront Media Inc. passed 1 out of 9 key points

12.a Historical Valuation

12.b Price/Earnings Ratio

12.c Margin Valuation

12.d Peers Valuation

Peers Group Analysis

Stock-Card
Hannon Armstrong

A-Score: 7.3/10

Value: 10.0

Growth: 4.8

Quality: 7.6

Yield: 9.0

Momentum: 7.0

Volatility: 5.7

1-Year Total Return ->

Stock-Card
Rayonier

A-Score: 6.6/10

Value: 5.7

Growth: 5.4

Quality: 7.7

Yield: 10.0

Momentum: 2.0

Volatility: 8.7

1-Year Total Return ->

Stock-Card
Outfront Media

A-Score: 5.7/10

Value: 2.6

Growth: 4.7

Quality: 4.8

Yield: 9.0

Momentum: 7.5

Volatility: 5.7

1-Year Total Return ->

Stock-Card
SBA Communications

A-Score: 5.6/10

Value: 4.1

Growth: 6.9

Quality: 6.8

Yield: 3.0

Momentum: 4.0

Volatility: 9.0

1-Year Total Return ->

Stock-Card
PotlatchDeltic

A-Score: 5.0/10

Value: 2.4

Growth: 2.1

Quality: 3.6

Yield: 9.0

Momentum: 4.5

Volatility: 8.3

1-Year Total Return ->

Stock-Card
Weyerhaeuser

A-Score: 4.6/10

Value: 2.4

Growth: 3.0

Quality: 3.7

Yield: 8.0

Momentum: 2.0

Volatility: 8.3

1-Year Total Return ->

Peers Metrics

12.e Scoring Insights

12.f DCF BETA

Parameters

Short Term Growth

Short term Time

Long-Term Growth

WACC

Target Price

26.89$

Current Price

26.89$

Potential

-0.00%

Expected Cash-Flows