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1. Company Snapshot

1.a. Company Description

Philip Morris International Inc.operates as a tobacco company working to delivers a smoke-free future and evolving portfolio for the long-term to include products outside of the tobacco and nicotine sector.The company's product portfolio primarily consists of cigarettes and smoke-free products, including heat-not-burn, vapor, and oral nicotine products that are sold in markets outside the United States.


The company offers its smoke-free products under the HEETS, HEETS Creations, HEETS Dimensions, HEETS Marlboro, HEETS FROM MARLBORO, Marlboro Dimensions, Marlboro HeatSticks, Parliament HeatSticks, and TEREA brands, as well as the KT&G-licensed brands, Fiit, and Miix.It also sells its products under the Marlboro, Parliament, Bond Street, Chesterfield, L&M, Lark, and Philip Morris brands.In addition, the company owns various cigarette brands, such as Dji Sam Soe, Sampoerna A, and Sampoerna U in Indonesia; and Fortune and Jackpot in the Philippines.


The company sells its smoke-free products in 71 markets.Philip Morris International Inc.was incorporated in 1987 and is headquartered in New York, New York.

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1.b. Last Insights on PM

Philip Morris International Inc.'s recent performance was negatively impacted by several factors. Several institutional investors, including Frank Rimerman Advisors LLC, Bronte Capital Management Pty Ltd., and Principal Financial Group Inc., reduced their stakes in the company. Additionally, the company's Q1 2026 results, although exceeding expectations, were preceded by a slow start to 2026. However, the company's alternative products now comprise 43% of total revenues, and it confirmed its adjusted EPS guidance for FY 2026. (Source: Philip Morris: Growth At An Expensive Price - Rating Upgrade)

1.c. Company Highlights

2. Q1 2025 Earnings: Smoke-Free Surge Fuels Strong Growth

Net revenues topped $10 billion, up 9% in reported terms and 2.7% organically, eclipsing flat‑year expectations. Adjusted operating income climbed 10% to $4.2 billion, while diluted EPS rose 16% to $1.96, beating estimates of $1.86. Gross profit surged 10% to $6.9 billion, driven by a 3.8% organic rise and a 70‑basis‑point margin lift. The company trades at a P/E of 23.09 and EV/EBITDA of 17.02, reflecting market confidence in its smoke‑free expansion.

Publication Date: Apr -23

📋 Highlights
  • International Smoke-Free Growth: Double-digit volume growth (11.9%), 15.8% net revenue rise, and 19.4% gross profit surge driven by IQOS, ZYN, and VEEV.
  • Adjusted Financial Performance: Adjusted operating income up 10% to $4.2B; diluted EPS rose 16% to $1.96, exceeding flat delivery expectations.
  • Net Revenue & Gross Profit: Net revenues grew 9% to $10.1B (2.7% organic), while adjusted gross profit hit $6.9B (+10%), with 3.8% organic growth.
  • U.S. ZYN Resilience: 10% offtake volume growth despite competitive pressures and challenging Q1 2025 comparisons, leading 10.7% U.S. IQOS market share.
  • Smoke-Free Margin & Outlook: Over 70% international smoke-free margin; 5.3% organic net revenue growth and 3.9% gross profit rise, with 10.9% IQOS in-market sales growth.

International Smoke‑Free Performance

International smoke‑free units grew double‑digit volumes, with 15.8% net revenue and 19.4% gross profit expansion. IQOS sales hit 10.7% U.S. market share, while VEEV surpassed 1 billion equivalent units for the first time. The segment’s 70%+ margin underscores the profitability of the transition away from combustible products.

Combustible Business Resilience

Despite a 5% decline in cigarette volumes, combustible sales remained in line with midterm targets, posting low‑single‑digit organic top‑line growth and modest gross profit gains. This resilience highlights the brand’s entrenched market presence amid regulatory pressures.

U.S. ZYN & IQOS Dynamics

ZYN off‑take volumes rose 10% even amid fierce competition, while IQOS in‑market sales grew 10.9% in adjusted terms. The company’s investment in new product launches, such as IQOS ILUMA, is expected to reinforce momentum and normalize pricing pressures in the second half.

Growth Outlook & Guidance

The firm projects 5%–7% organic net revenue growth and 7%–9% operating income expansion for the full year, with EPS growth of 10.9%–12.9% in dollar terms. It maintains a currency‑neutral stance, anticipating stable shipment volumes and a broadening smoke‑free share, while monitoring potential tax and supply‑chain disruptions.

Valuation Snapshot

With a free cash flow yield of 4.17% and ROIC at 24.29%, the company’s valuation appears supportive of its growth trajectory. Analyst Jacek Olczak highlighted the company’s strategic focus on lower‑risk nicotine products, reinforcing confidence in long‑term category expansion.

3. NewsRoom

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Want Passive Income For Life? 2 Dividend Stocks to Buy and Never Sell

May -05

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Philip Morris: Room To Run Toward Fair Value

May -05

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3 Monster Dividend Stocks That Could Pay You Through the Next Decade of Chaos

May -05

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Forbes Includes Philip Morris International in Its Net Zero Leaders List

May -04

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3 of the Best Consumer Staples Stocks in 2026

May -01

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Philip Morris: No Reason To Get Involved Today

Apr -28

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Philip Morris International Inc. $PM Shares Sold by Comerica Bank

Apr -27

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2 Dividend Stocks Worth Buying More Of, Even At Today's Prices

Apr -25

4. Business Breakdown

4.a. Revenues by Country

4.b. Revenues by Segment

5. Expected revenues mid-term growth (7.90%)

6. Segments

Europe

Expected Growth: 6.5%

Europe's mature market and regulatory pressures may slow growth. However, the shift towards alternative nicotine products could drive revenue. A growth rate slightly below the global average is expected due to these balancing factors.

SSEA, CIS & MEA

Expected Growth: 8.5%

Emerging markets within this segment offer higher growth potential due to increasing consumer demand. However, this is somewhat offset by potential regulatory hurdles and public health initiatives. The expected growth rate is above the global average, reflecting the segment's mixed but overall positive outlook.

EA, AU & PMI GTR

Expected Growth: 7.0%

The diverse nature of this segment, with both mature and growing markets, results in a growth rate near the global average. While there are challenges, particularly in regulated markets like Australia, the global travel retail component adds a layer of potential growth tied to the recovery of international travel.

Americas

Expected Growth: 6.0%

The segment faces significant regulatory pressures and declining cigarette sales. While there's potential for growth in alternative nicotine products, the overall growth rate is expected to be below the global average due to these challenges.

Wellness and Healthcare

Expected Growth: 10.0%

The wellness and healthcare segment is poised for significant growth as it represents a new frontier for Philip Morris International. Investments in this area are expected to yield high returns as the company diversifies its portfolio and taps into the growing demand for health and wellness products.

7. Detailed Products

Marlboro

A premium cigarette brand offering a range of flavor profiles and nicotine levels

Chesterfield

A mid-range cigarette brand offering a smooth, balanced taste

L&M

A value cigarette brand offering a range of flavor profiles at an affordable price

iQOS

A heat-not-burn tobacco product offering a smoke-free alternative to cigarettes

HEETS

Tobacco sticks designed for use with iQOS, offering a range of flavor profiles

Marlboro HeatSticks

Tobacco sticks designed for use with iQOS, offering a range of flavor profiles under the Marlboro brand

8. Philip Morris International Inc.'s Porter Forces

Forces Ranking

Threat Of Substitutes

Philip Morris International Inc. faces moderate threat from substitutes, as consumers have limited alternatives to traditional tobacco products. However, the growing popularity of e-cigarettes and heat-not-burn products poses a threat to the company's traditional cigarette business.

Bargaining Power Of Customers

Philip Morris International Inc. has a large customer base, but individual customers have limited bargaining power due to the addictive nature of tobacco products. Additionally, the company's strong brand portfolio and wide distribution network reduce the bargaining power of customers.

Bargaining Power Of Suppliers

Philip Morris International Inc. has a diversified supplier base, and no single supplier has significant bargaining power. The company's large scale of operations and long-term contracts with suppliers also reduce the bargaining power of suppliers.

Threat Of New Entrants

The tobacco industry has high barriers to entry, including significant regulatory hurdles, high capital requirements, and established distribution networks. These barriers make it difficult for new entrants to compete with established players like Philip Morris International Inc.

Intensity Of Rivalry

The tobacco industry is highly competitive, with several large players competing for market share. Philip Morris International Inc. faces intense competition from other major tobacco companies, such as Altria Group and British American Tobacco, as well as from smaller players and new entrants in the e-cigarette and heat-not-burn markets.

9. SWOT Analysis

10. Capital Structure

10.a. Balance Sheet

10.b. Weighted Average Cost of capital

Value
Debt Weight 130.60%
Debt Cost 4.24%
Equity Weight -30.60%
Equity Cost 6.99%
WACC 3.40%
Leverage -426.81%

11. Quality Control: Philip Morris International Inc. passed 4 out of 9 key points

12.a Historical Valuation

12.b Price/Earnings Ratio

12.c Margin Valuation

12.d Peers Valuation

Peers Group Analysis

Stock-Card
Altria

A-Score: 7.6/10

Value: 6.8

Growth: 5.8

Quality: 6.5

Yield: 10.0

Momentum: 7.0

Volatility: 9.7

1-Year Total Return ->

Stock-Card
Imperial Brands

A-Score: 7.5/10

Value: 5.6

Growth: 5.0

Quality: 6.4

Yield: 9.4

Momentum: 9.0

Volatility: 9.7

1-Year Total Return ->

Stock-Card
Universal

A-Score: 7.0/10

Value: 8.2

Growth: 5.9

Quality: 4.2

Yield: 10.0

Momentum: 5.0

Volatility: 9.0

1-Year Total Return ->

Stock-Card
Philip Morris

A-Score: 6.8/10

Value: 3.8

Growth: 4.1

Quality: 7.1

Yield: 8.0

Momentum: 8.5

Volatility: 9.0

1-Year Total Return ->

Stock-Card
BAT

A-Score: 6.7/10

Value: 3.0

Growth: 3.6

Quality: 6.1

Yield: 9.4

Momentum: 9.5

Volatility: 8.7

1-Year Total Return ->

Stock-Card
Scandinavian Tobacco Group

A-Score: 6.5/10

Value: 7.6

Growth: 4.0

Quality: 5.4

Yield: 10.0

Momentum: 3.0

Volatility: 9.0

1-Year Total Return ->

Peers Metrics

12.e Scoring Insights

12.f DCF BETA

Parameters

Short Term Growth

Short term Time

Long-Term Growth

WACC

Target Price

169.46$

Current Price

169.46$

Potential

-0.00%

Expected Cash-Flows