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1. Company Snapshot

1.a. Company Description

Bank Millennium S.A. provides various banking products and services in Poland.It operates through Retail Customer; Corporate Customer; FX Mortgage Loans; and Treasury, Assets and Liabilities Management and Other segments.The company offers current accounts; saving products; renewable, cash loans, loans secured with assets accumulated in the Bank, and loans for purchase of securities, as well as mortgage loans; brokerage services; investment funds and solutions; payment cards; letter of credit; bank guarantee and document collection services; factoring; trade finance; foreign currency exchange services; custody services; pension schemes; overdraft; life and non-life insurance; and custodial services.


It also provides leasing and financing services for cars and vans, machinery and equipment industries, road, rail, water, and air, as well as real estate properties; and internet, ATM, transactional, and mobile banking services.The company serves its services to individual customers on the mass market, affluent customers, and sole traders, as well as services to small companies, medium and large companies, and public sector entities.It operates 655 branches.


The company was formerly known as BIG Bank GDANSKI SA and changed its name to Bank Millennium S.A. in January 2003.Bank Millennium S.A. was founded in 1989 and is headquartered in Warsaw, Poland.Bank Millennium S.A. operates as a subsidiary of Banco Comercial Português, S.A.

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1.b. Last Insights on MIL

Bank Millennium S.A.'s recent performance was positively driven by robust quarterly earnings, fueled by a low cost of risk and solid net interest income. The Polish lender's sound financials were a highlight, with a notable increase in customer loans. Moreover, the bank's efforts to enhance digital services and product offerings have been well-received. A recent rating upgrade by Fitch Ratings, citing the bank's stable outlook, further reinforced investor confidence. Additionally, a share buyback program aimed at reducing outstanding shares has been implemented.

1.c. Company Highlights

2. Transcript Summary

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3. NewsRoom

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4. Business Breakdown

4.a. Revenues by Country

4.b. Revenues by Segment

5. Expected revenues mid-term growth (7.26%)

6. Segments

Retail Banking

Expected Growth: 7.43%

Strong brand recognition, extensive branch network, and digitalization efforts drove Retail Banking growth at Bank Millennium S.A. The 7.43% growth rate can be attributed to increased mortgage lending, higher transactional activity, and a growing customer base. Additionally, the bank's focus on innovative digital solutions, such as mobile banking and online lending platforms, has enhanced customer experience and contributed to the segment's expansion.

Corporate Banking

Expected Growth: 6.5%

The 6.5% growth in Corporate Banking at Bank Millennium S.A. is driven by increasing demand for cash management and trade finance services, expansion into new industries, and strategic partnerships. Additionally, investments in digitalization and process automation have improved operational efficiency, enabling the bank to better serve its corporate clients and capitalize on emerging opportunities.

Treasury, Assets and Liabilities Management and Other

Expected Growth: 7.38%

Treasury: Effective ALM strategies, optimized liquidity, and risk management. Assets: Diversified loan portfolio, increased mortgage lending, and robust credit quality. Liabilities: Strong deposit growth, improved CASA ratio, and stable funding costs. Other: Digital transformation, cost discipline, and strategic partnerships driving operational efficiency and revenue growth, contributing to 7.38% growth.

FX Mortgage

Expected Growth: 5.83%

The 5.83% growth of FX Mortgage from Bank Millennium S.A. is driven by increasing demand for foreign currency-denominated mortgages, particularly among Polish expats and foreign investors. Additionally, competitive interest rates, government support for homeownership, and a growing economy contribute to the segment's expansion.

7. Detailed Products

Personal Accounts

Bank Millennium S.A. offers a range of personal accounts for individuals, including current accounts, savings accounts, and student accounts.

Credit Cards

The bank offers a variety of credit cards with different benefits, such as cashback, travel insurance, and purchase protection.

Mortgage Loans

Bank Millennium S.A. provides mortgage loans for individuals and families to purchase or renovate a home.

Business Accounts

The bank offers business accounts for small and medium-sized enterprises, including current accounts, savings accounts, and business loans.

Investment Products

Bank Millennium S.A. offers a range of investment products, including mutual funds, bonds, and structured products.

Insurance Products

The bank provides a range of insurance products, including life insurance, health insurance, and property insurance.

Online Banking

Bank Millennium S.A. offers online banking services, allowing customers to manage their accounts, make transactions, and access financial information online.

Mobile Banking

The bank provides mobile banking services, enabling customers to manage their accounts, make transactions, and access financial information on-the-go.

8. Bank Millennium S.A.'s Porter Forces

Forces Ranking

Threat Of Substitutes

The threat of substitutes for Bank Millennium S.A. is medium due to the presence of alternative banking services and financial institutions in Poland.

Bargaining Power Of Customers

The bargaining power of customers is low due to the lack of concentration of buyers in the Polish banking industry.

Bargaining Power Of Suppliers

The bargaining power of suppliers is low due to the presence of multiple suppliers of technology and services in the banking industry.

Threat Of New Entrants

The threat of new entrants is high due to the growing trend of digital banking and fintech companies entering the Polish market.

Intensity Of Rivalry

The intensity of rivalry is high due to the presence of multiple banks and financial institutions in Poland, leading to intense competition for market share.

9. SWOT Analysis

10. Capital Structure

10.a. Balance Sheet

10.b. Weighted Average Cost of capital

Value
Debt Weight 45.70%
Debt Cost 10.46%
Equity Weight 54.30%
Equity Cost 10.46%
WACC 10.46%
Leverage 84.18%

11. Quality Control: Bank Millennium S.A. passed 5 out of 9 key points

12.a Historical Valuation

12.b Price/Earnings Ratio

12.c Margin Valuation

12.d Peers Valuation

Peers Group Analysis

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Credicorp

A-Score: 7.2/10

Value: 4.7

Growth: 7.1

Quality: 7.3

Yield: 7.5

Momentum: 8.5

Volatility: 8.0

1-Year Total Return ->

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Luzerner Kantonalbank

A-Score: 6.9/10

Value: 5.2

Growth: 5.2

Quality: 5.0

Yield: 6.9

Momentum: 9.0

Volatility: 10.0

1-Year Total Return ->

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Intercorp Financial Services

A-Score: 5.9/10

Value: 4.4

Growth: 1.7

Quality: 6.9

Yield: 6.2

Momentum: 9.0

Volatility: 7.3

1-Year Total Return ->

Stock-Card
Bank of Ireland

A-Score: 5.9/10

Value: 7.3

Growth: 5.2

Quality: 5.7

Yield: 3.1

Momentum: 9.0

Volatility: 5.0

1-Year Total Return ->

Stock-Card
Bank Millennium

A-Score: 5.2/10

Value: 5.2

Growth: 8.4

Quality: 5.6

Yield: 0.0

Momentum: 9.5

Volatility: 2.7

1-Year Total Return ->

Stock-Card
Zuger KB

A-Score: 5.2/10

Value: 2.9

Growth: 5.8

Quality: 5.0

Yield: 5.0

Momentum: 2.5

Volatility: 10.0

1-Year Total Return ->

Peers Metrics

12.e Scoring Insights

12.f DCF BETA

Parameters

Short Term Growth

Short term Time

Long-Term Growth

WACC

Target Price

14.83$

Current Price

14.83$

Potential

-0.00%

Expected Cash-Flows