Download PDF

1. Company Snapshot

1.a. Company Description

AFC Gamma, Inc.originates, structures, underwrites, and invests in senior secured loans, and other types of loans and debt securities for established companies operating in the cannabis industry in states that have legalized medicinal and/or adult use cannabis.It primarily originates loans structured as senior loans secured by real estate, equipment, and licenses and/or other assets of the loan parties to the extent permitted by applicable laws and the regulations governing such loan parties.


AFC Gamma, Inc.has elected and qualified to be taxed as a real estate investment trust for the United States federal income tax purposes under the Internal Revenue Code of 1986.The company was incorporated in 2020 and is based in West Palm Beach, Florida.

Show Full description

1.b. Last Insights on AFCG

AFC Gamma's recent performance was negatively driven by analysts' expectations of a decline in earnings. The company's Q4 and full-year 2024 results are expected to be released on March 13, 2025, and management will review the financials at 10:00 am ET via webcast. Additionally, the company announced a dividend for the fourth quarter 2024, but the lack of recent earnings release and disappointing expectations from analysts are key concerns.

1.c. Company Highlights

2. Advanced Flower Capital Inc. Delivers Mixed Quarterly Results

Advanced Flower Capital Inc. reported distributable earnings of $0.16 per basic weighted average share of common stock for the quarter ended September 30, 2025, falling short of analyst estimates of $0.19. The company's net interest income was $6,500,000, and distributable earnings were $3,500,000. The Board of Directors declared a third-quarter dividend of $0.15 per common share outstanding, which was paid on October 15, 2025. Notably, the company announced that it will not pay a dividend in the fourth quarter, citing the board's decision.

Publication Date: Nov -21

📋 Highlights
  • Conversion to BDC Approved:: Shareholders approved the REIT-to-BDC conversion on 11/06/2025, with anticipated completion in Q1 2026.
  • Distributable Earnings:: Generated $3.5M ($0.16/share) for Q3 2025, with a $0.15/share dividend paid on 10/15/2025.
  • Portfolio Composition:: $332.8M in loans across 14 assets, with an 18.7% CECL reserve ($51.3M) and $31.2M unrealized loss.
  • Non-Cannabis Pipeline:: $290M in non-cannabis opportunities (vs. $60M cannabis) targeting low double-digit IRRs in stable industries.
  • Financial Position:: Total assets of $288.7M, equity of $169.3M, and book value per share of $7.49 as of 09/30/2025.

Portfolio Composition and Performance

As of September 30, 2025, Advanced Flower Capital Inc.'s portfolio consisted of $332,800,000 of principal outstanding spread across 14 loans. The CECL reserve was $51,300,000, or approximately 18.7% of their loans at carrying value. The company had a total unrealized loss included on the balance sheet of $31,200,000 for their loans held at fair value. The portfolio's performance was impacted by the challenging market conditions, and the company's efforts to diversify its portfolio are ongoing.

Conversion to Business Development Company (BDC)

The company's conversion to a BDC is expected to occur in 2026, pending approval from the Board of Directors. This move is anticipated to enable the company to originate and invest in a broader array of opportunities, including both real estate and non-real estate covered assets. The company has already built a pipeline of approximately $350,000,000 in lending opportunities to middle-market companies outside of the cannabis industry, with yields expected to be in the low double-digit range.

Valuation and Dividend Yield

Advanced Flower Capital Inc.'s current P/B Ratio is 0.33, and its Dividend Yield is 33.99%. These metrics indicate that the company's stock may be undervalued, considering its book value and dividend payments. However, the company's ROE is -11.94%, and its ROIC is -7.51%, which may raise concerns about its profitability.

Outlook and Guidance

The company's management is actively evaluating opportunities to redeploy cash and is looking for stable industries with some element of consistency or recession resistance. While no guidance was given on the timing of redeploying cash, the company's pipeline of $350,000,000 in lending opportunities is expected to drive growth in the coming quarters. Analysts estimate revenue growth to be 3.1% next year, which may be a positive indicator for the company's future performance.

3. NewsRoom

Card image cap

Advanced Flower Capital Inc. (AFCG) Q3 2025 Earnings Call Transcript

Nov -12

Card image cap

Advanced Flower Capital Inc. Announces Financial Results for the Third Quarter 2025

Nov -12

Card image cap

Advanced Flower Capital Shareholders Approve Conversion to Business Development Company

Nov -06

Card image cap

Advanced Flower Capital Schedules Earnings Release and Conference Call for the Third Quarter Ended September 30, 2025

Oct -28

Card image cap

Financial Review: Blackstone Mortgage Trust (NYSE:BXMT) & AFC Gamma (NASDAQ:AFCG)

Oct -26

Card image cap

Advanced Flower Capital Advances Planned Conversion to BDC to Deliver Long-Term Growth and Value Creation

Sep -16

Card image cap

Advanced Flower Capital Announces Dividend for the Third Quarter 2025

Sep -15

Card image cap

Advanced Flower Capital Inc. (AFCG) Q2 2025 Earnings Call Transcript

Aug -14

4. Business Breakdown

4.a. Revenues by Country

4.b. Revenues by Segment

5. Expected revenues mid-term growth (25.40%)

6. Segments

Financing Senior Secured Loans

Expected Growth: 25.4%

Growing demand for cannabis, increasing legalization, and limited traditional financing options drive growth in senior secured loans for cannabis businesses, with AFC Gamma's flexible terms and competitive rates positioning it for success.

7. Detailed Products

Real Estate Loans

AFC Gamma provides real estate loans to cannabis companies, allowing them to purchase or refinance properties for their businesses.

Equipment Financing

AFC Gamma offers equipment financing solutions to cannabis companies, enabling them to acquire the equipment they need to operate efficiently.

Working Capital Loans

AFC Gamma provides working capital loans to cannabis companies, helping them to manage their day-to-day operations and meet their financial obligations.

Construction Loans

AFC Gamma offers construction loans to cannabis companies, enabling them to build or renovate facilities to support their growth.

Bridge Loans

AFC Gamma provides bridge loans to cannabis companies, helping them to overcome short-term financial gaps and achieve their long-term goals.

8. AFC Gamma, Inc.'s Porter Forces

Forces Ranking

Threat Of Substitutes

AFC Gamma, Inc. operates in a highly competitive industry, but the threat of substitutes is mitigated by the company's strong brand recognition and customer loyalty.

Bargaining Power Of Customers

AFC Gamma, Inc. has a large customer base, but the bargaining power of customers is high due to the availability of alternative products and services.

Bargaining Power Of Suppliers

AFC Gamma, Inc. has a diversified supplier base, which reduces the bargaining power of suppliers.

Threat Of New Entrants

The threat of new entrants is moderate due to the high barriers to entry in the industry, but AFC Gamma, Inc. must continue to innovate to stay ahead of potential competitors.

Intensity Of Rivalry

The industry in which AFC Gamma, Inc. operates is highly competitive, with many established players, which increases the intensity of rivalry.

9. SWOT Analysis

10. Capital Structure

10.a. Balance Sheet

10.b. Weighted Average Cost of capital

Value
Debt Weight 34.96%
Debt Cost 5.28%
Equity Weight 65.04%
Equity Cost 9.33%
WACC 7.92%
Leverage 53.75%

11. Quality Control: AFC Gamma, Inc. passed 5 out of 9 key points

12.a Historical Valuation

12.b Price/Earnings Ratio

12.c Margin Valuation

12.d Peers Valuation

Peers Group Analysis

Stock-Card
Farmland Partners

A-Score: 7.0/10

Value: 5.6

Growth: 4.9

Quality: 8.8

Yield: 9.0

Momentum: 5.0

Volatility: 9.0

1-Year Total Return ->

Stock-Card
Chicago Atlantic

A-Score: 6.7/10

Value: 6.1

Growth: 9.1

Quality: 4.3

Yield: 10.0

Momentum: 1.0

Volatility: 9.7

1-Year Total Return ->

Stock-Card
Gladstone Land

A-Score: 6.1/10

Value: 3.8

Growth: 5.6

Quality: 5.1

Yield: 9.0

Momentum: 3.5

Volatility: 10.0

1-Year Total Return ->

Stock-Card
AFC Gamma

A-Score: 5.7/10

Value: 8.3

Growth: 7.4

Quality: 5.4

Yield: 10.0

Momentum: 0.0

Volatility: 3.3

1-Year Total Return ->

Stock-Card
CoreCivic

A-Score: 4.9/10

Value: 6.1

Growth: 3.7

Quality: 4.3

Yield: 0.0

Momentum: 9.0

Volatility: 6.0

1-Year Total Return ->

Stock-Card
Uniti

A-Score: 4.1/10

Value: 5.5

Growth: 4.6

Quality: 5.3

Yield: 5.0

Momentum: 1.5

Volatility: 3.0

1-Year Total Return ->

Peers Metrics

12.e Scoring Insights

12.f DCF BETA

Parameters

Short Term Growth

Short term Time

Long-Term Growth

WACC

Target Price

2.88$

Current Price

2.88$

Potential

-0.00%

Expected Cash-Flows