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1. Company Snapshot

1.a. Company Description

ATI Inc.manufactures and sells specialty materials and components worldwide.The company operates in two segments: High Performance Materials & Components (HPMC) and Advanced Alloys & Solutions (AA&S).


The HPMC segment produces various materials, including titanium and titanium-based alloys, nickel- and cobalt-based alloys and superalloys, advanced powder alloys and other specialty materials, in long product forms, such as ingot, billet, bar, rod, wire, shapes and rectangles, and seamless tubes, as well as precision forgings, components, and machined parts.The segment serves aerospace and defense, medical, and energy markets.The AA&S segment produces zirconium and related alloys, including hafnium and niobium, nickel-based alloys, titanium and titanium-based alloys, and specialty alloys in a variety of forms, such as plate, sheet, and precision rolled strip products.


It also provides hot-rolling conversion services, including carbon steel products, and titanium products.This segment offers its solutions to the energy, aerospace and defense, automotive, and electronics markets.The company was formerly known as Allegheny Technologies Incorporated.


ATI Inc.was founded in 1960 and is headquartered in Dallas, Texas.

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1.b. Last Insights on ATI

ATI Inc.'s recent performance was driven by robust aerospace and defense demand, with record sales of $793 million, up 21% year-over-year. The company's Q3 2025 results show 70% of revenue from aerospace and defense, with jet engine and defense revenue up 19% and 51% year-over-year, respectively. Strong margin performance in HPMC and AA&S segments, coupled with an active share buyback program, support ATI's long-term growth outlook amid rising global military and aviation spending. The company raised its full-year guidance for adjusted earnings and cash flow.

1.c. Company Highlights

2. ATI's Q3 2025 Earnings: Strong Performance Drives Guidance Increase

ATI reported revenue of over $1.1 billion, a 7% year-over-year increase, with adjusted EPS of $0.85, exceeding the high end of the projected range by $0.10. Adjusted EBITDA totaled $225 million, also exceeding the high end of guidance by $5 million. Both segments delivered excellent profitability, with High Performance Materials & Components segment margins above 24% and Advanced Alloys & Solutions segment above 17%. The company's strong financial performance is a testament to its operational excellence and disciplined execution, with Kim Fields stating that "operational excellence and disciplined execution are the backbone of our performance."

Publication Date: Oct -31

📋 Highlights
  • Revenue Growth: 7% YoY increase, exceeding $1.1 billion in Q3 2025.
  • Adjusted EBITDA Outperformance: $225 million reported, $5 million above guidance, with margins at 20% (excluding asset sales).
  • Shareholder Returns: $150 million returned via buybacks, $120 million remaining under current authorization.
  • Full-Year Guidance Raised: Adjusted EBITDA now $848–$858 million (up $28 million midpoint), adjusted free cash flow $330–$370 million (up $40 million midpoint).
  • Jet Engine Market Momentum: A&D revenue grew 19% YoY (39% of total revenue), driven by next-gen programs (LEAP, GTF) and 50% MRO sales contribution.

Segment Performance

The High Performance Materials & Components segment delivered EBITDA margins of 24.2%, up 50 basis points sequentially and 190 basis points year-over-year. The Advanced Alloys & Solutions segment saw margins improve to 17.3%, a 290 basis point increase sequentially and a 250-point increase year-over-year. This reflects gains from ongoing transformation and efficiency efforts, demonstrating the company's ability to drive long-term value through its strategy and investments.

Guidance Increase and Outlook

ATI is raising its full-year guidance across the board, with adjusted EBITDA now forecast between $848 million and $858 million, a $28 million increase at the midpoint. Adjusted free cash flow is now forecast between $330 million and $370 million, a $40 million increase at the midpoint. The company expects continued growth and strength in the jet engine market, with airframe sales expected to be up high single-digit in 2026.

Valuation Metrics

With a P/E Ratio of 31.16 and an EV/EBITDA of 19.11, the market is pricing in a certain level of growth and profitability. The company's ROE of 24.8% and ROIC of 13.15% indicate strong returns on equity and invested capital. As analysts estimate next year's revenue growth at 8.1%, it remains to be seen if the company can continue to deliver on its promises and justify its current valuation.

Business Outlook

The company's focus on aerospace and defense is paying off, with 70% of revenue now coming from these high-value markets. ATI's capabilities in differentiated materials, such as zirconium, hafnium, titanium, and nickel products, are well-positioned to drive growth in the energy market. With a stable supply chain and built stockpiles, the company is confident in its ability to meet demand and drive long-term value.

3. NewsRoom

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Edgestream Partners L.P. Purchases 5,536 Shares of ATI Inc. $ATI

Dec -03

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Top 3D Printing Stocks to Build Steady Portfolio Gains

Dec -01

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Why Is ATI (ATI) Down 2.6% Since Last Earnings Report?

Nov -27

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Creative Planning Sells 1,195 Shares of ATI Inc. $ATI

Nov -26

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Advisors Asset Management Inc. Raises Position in ATI Inc. $ATI

Nov -26

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AI Fatigue? These 3 Analyst-Upgraded Stocks Offer Real Growth Potential

Nov -24

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ATI President and CEO Kimberly A. Fields Elected Board Chair

Nov -18

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Mario Cibelli's Strategic Moves: A Closer Look at Remitly Global Inc's Impact

Nov -14

4. Business Breakdown

4.a. Revenues by Country

4.b. Revenues by Segment

5. Expected revenues mid-term growth (6.65%)

6. Segments

High Performance Materials & Components

Expected Growth: 6.5%

ATI Inc.'s High Performance Materials & Components segment growth of 6.5% is driven by increasing demand for advanced materials in aerospace and defense, growth in commercial aerospace, and rising adoption of electric vehicles, which require high-performance materials. Additionally, ATI's strategic investments in research and development, and its focus on operational efficiency, have contributed to the segment's growth.

Advanced Alloys & Solutions

Expected Growth: 6.8%

ATI Inc.'s Advanced Alloys & Solutions segment growth of 6.8% is driven by increasing demand for high-performance materials in aerospace and defense, growth in commercial aerospace, and rising adoption of electric vehicles. Additionally, ATI's strategic investments in research and development, as well as its focus on operational efficiency, have contributed to the segment's growth.

7. Detailed Products

Radeon Graphics Cards

High-performance graphics processing units (GPUs) for gaming, professional visualization, and machine learning applications

Radeon Pro Graphics Cards

Professional-grade graphics processing units (GPUs) for workstations, data science, and AI development

Radeon Instinct Accelerators

High-performance accelerators for machine learning, deep learning, and high-performance computing

Radeon ProRender

Physically-based rendering engine for film, television, and architectural visualization

Radeon Image Sharpening

Image sharpening technology for improved image quality and detail

Radeon Anti-Lag

Low-latency technology for improved gaming performance

Radeon Overlay

On-screen display technology for real-time performance monitoring and customization

8. ATI Inc.'s Porter Forces

Forces Ranking

Threat Of Substitutes

The threat of substitutes for ATI Inc. is medium due to the presence of alternative graphics processing units (GPUs) from competitors like NVIDIA.

Bargaining Power Of Customers

The bargaining power of customers is low due to the specialized nature of ATI's products, making it difficult for customers to switch to alternative suppliers.

Bargaining Power Of Suppliers

The bargaining power of suppliers is medium due to the dependence on a few key suppliers for components, but ATI's large scale of operations provides some negotiating power.

Threat Of New Entrants

The threat of new entrants is low due to the high barriers to entry in the GPU market, including significant research and development costs and the need for specialized expertise.

Intensity Of Rivalry

The intensity of rivalry is high due to the intense competition between ATI and NVIDIA, with both companies constantly innovating and improving their products to gain market share.

9. SWOT Analysis

10. Capital Structure

10.a. Balance Sheet

10.b. Weighted Average Cost of capital

Value
Debt Weight 61.35%
Debt Cost 3.95%
Equity Weight 38.65%
Equity Cost 9.78%
WACC 6.20%
Leverage 158.75%

11. Quality Control: ATI Inc. passed 3 out of 9 key points

12.a Historical Valuation

12.b Price/Earnings Ratio

12.c Margin Valuation

12.d Peers Valuation

Peers Group Analysis

Stock-Card
Mueller Industries

A-Score: 6.3/10

Value: 4.5

Growth: 7.1

Quality: 7.9

Yield: 2.0

Momentum: 8.5

Volatility: 8.0

1-Year Total Return ->

Stock-Card
AZZ

A-Score: 6.3/10

Value: 6.7

Growth: 6.7

Quality: 6.9

Yield: 2.0

Momentum: 8.0

Volatility: 7.3

1-Year Total Return ->

Stock-Card
Worthington Industries

A-Score: 5.0/10

Value: 3.6

Growth: 3.1

Quality: 5.7

Yield: 3.0

Momentum: 8.5

Volatility: 6.0

1-Year Total Return ->

Stock-Card
Carpenter Technology

A-Score: 4.9/10

Value: 1.1

Growth: 7.2

Quality: 6.9

Yield: 1.0

Momentum: 9.0

Volatility: 4.0

1-Year Total Return ->

Stock-Card
ATI

A-Score: 4.6/10

Value: 2.4

Growth: 6.8

Quality: 5.6

Yield: 0.0

Momentum: 8.0

Volatility: 4.7

1-Year Total Return ->

Stock-Card
ESAB

A-Score: 4.1/10

Value: 3.0

Growth: 4.7

Quality: 5.9

Yield: 0.0

Momentum: 5.0

Volatility: 6.0

1-Year Total Return ->

Peers Metrics

12.e Scoring Insights

12.f DCF BETA

Parameters

Short Term Growth

Short term Time

Long-Term Growth

WACC

Target Price

100.41$

Current Price

100.41$

Potential

-0.00%

Expected Cash-Flows