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1. Company Snapshot

1.a. Company Description

Atlantic Union Bankshares Corporation operates as the holding company for Atlantic Union Bank that provides banking and related financial services to consumers and businesses.The company accepts various deposit products, including checking, savings, NOW, time deposit, and money market accounts; certificates of deposit; and other depository services.It also provides loans for commercial, industrial, residential mortgage, and consumer purposes.


In addition, the company offers credit cards, automated teller machine (ATM) services, mobile and internet banking services, and online bill payment services, as well as financial planning, trust, and wealth management services.Further, it provides securities, brokerage, and investment advisory products and services; and originates and sells residential loan products in the secondary market.As of February 25, 2022, it operated 130 branches and approximately 150 ATMs in Virginia, Maryland, and North Carolina.


The company was formerly known as Union Bankshares Corporation and changed its name to Atlantic Union Bankshares Corporation in May 2019.Atlantic Union Bankshares Corporation was founded in 1902 and is headquartered in Richmond, Virginia.

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1.b. Last Insights on AUB

Atlantic Union Bankshares Corporation's recent performance was negatively impacted by its Q4 2024 earnings miss, where it reported $0.67 per share, falling short of the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $0.76 per share. This earnings miss, coupled with a decline in net interest income, contributed to the company's disappointing quarterly results. Despite this, the bank's asset quality remains strong, and its recent acquisitions and steady loan and deposit growth support its long-term growth trajectory.

1.c. Company Highlights

2. Atlantic Union Bankshares Posts Solid Q3 Earnings Despite Merger-Related Costs

Atlantic Union Bankshares reported adjusted operating earnings available to common shareholders of $119.7 million or $0.84 per common share for the third quarter, slightly missing analyst estimates of $0.85 EPS. The company's reported FTE net interest margin remained steady at 3.83%, while noninterest-bearing deposits grew approximately 4% annualized. Adjusted operating return on tangible common equity was 20.1%, and the adjusted operating efficiency ratio was 48.8%. Revenue growth is expected to be 14.5% next year according to analyst estimates.

Publication Date: Oct -27

📋 Highlights
  • Merged Earnings Potential: Despite $X merger costs, the combined entity's operating results reflect solid Q3 performance and path to Sandy Spring acquisition benefits.
  • Loan Growth Momentum: Q3 average loan growth hit 4.3% annualized, with expected year-end balances of $27.7–28B, despite fair value loan marks.
  • Deposit & Margin Stability: Noninterest-bearing deposits rose 4% annualized, while the 3.83% net interest margin remained steady amid strategic cost management.
  • Strong ROE & Efficiency: Adjusted operating ROE reached 20.1% with an efficiency ratio of 48.8%, signaling robust profitability and operational control.
  • Dividend Growth: Shareholders received a 6.3% increase, with $0.34 per share payout, reflecting confidence in capital returns and earnings sustainability.

Loan Growth and Outlook

The company reported loan growth of approximately 0.5% annualized, but lending production increased modestly versus the second quarter. Average loan growth quarter-over-quarter was 4.3% annualized. CEO John Asbury mentioned that "we have the pipeline to support mid-single-digit loan growth in Q4," indicating a positive outlook for loan growth. The company expects year-end loan balances to range between $27.7 billion and $28 billion.

Margin Expansion and Credit Trends

The company expects margin expansion in the fourth quarter, with a guidance of 3.85% to 3.90%. Robert Gorman stated that "we think there's opportunity for core expansion in the low single digits per quarter," driven by fixed-rate loans repricing higher. Credit trends look good, with 0.49% nonperforming assets as a percentage of the total loan book, indicating a healthy portfolio.

Valuation and Dividend Yield

Atlantic Union Bankshares trades at a Price-to-Tangible Book Value (P/TBV) of around 0.62, which is relatively attractive compared to its peers. The company's Dividend Yield is 3.99%, providing a stable source of return for investors. With a strong capital position and a commitment to returning capital to shareholders, the company is well-positioned to continue delivering value to its investors.

Future Outlook and Guidance

The company has provided guidance for the full year 2025, including adjusted operating noninterest income of $185 million to $190 million and adjusted operating noninterest expenses of $675 million to $680 million. The company expects to maintain a mid-40s efficiency ratio, despite potential revenue growth and expense management challenges. With a strong pipeline and a solid capital position, Atlantic Union Bankshares is poised for continued growth and profitability.

3. NewsRoom

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Atlantic Union Bankshares: Still Cheap Amid Resilient Credit Quality And Declining CRE Exposure

Dec -03

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Australia's AUB plunges as EQT, CVC abandon $3.44 billion offer

Dec -01

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Associated Banc Corp Invests $224,000 in Atlantic Union Bankshares Co. $AUB

Nov -27

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Meet 33 Ideal "Safer" November Small/MidCap Value DiviBuys Of The S&P600

Nov -26

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Commonwealth of Pennsylvania Public School Empls Retrmt SYS Acquires 15,446 Shares of Atlantic Union Bankshares Co. $AUB

Nov -24

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Atlantic Union Bankshares Co. $AUB Shares Bought by Creative Planning

Nov -24

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35,881 Shares in Atlantic Union Bankshares Co. $AUB Purchased by Accordant Advisory Group Inc

Nov -20

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Is the Options Market Predicting a Spike in AUB Stock?

Nov -19

4. Business Breakdown

4.a. Revenues by Country

4.b. Revenues by Segment

5. Expected revenues mid-term growth (6.02%)

6. Segments

Wholesale Banking

Expected Growth: 5.45%

Atlantic Union Bankshares Corporation's Wholesale Banking segment growth of 5.45% is driven by increased commercial loan demand, expansion of treasury management services, and strategic partnerships. Additionally, the segment benefits from a strong economy, low unemployment, and rising interest rates, which boost lending and deposit growth.

Consumer Banking

Expected Growth: 7.03%

Atlantic Union Bankshares Corporation's 7.03% growth in Consumer Banking is driven by strategic expansion into new markets, increased adoption of digital banking channels, and a focus on customer acquisition and retention through competitive pricing and exceptional customer service.

Corporate Other

Expected Growth: 4.54%

Atlantic Union Bankshares Corporation's Corporate Other segment growth of 4.54% is driven by increasing treasury management services, growth in mortgage banking income, and expansion of commercial loan offerings. Additionally, strategic acquisitions and investments in digital banking platforms have contributed to the segment's growth.

7. Detailed Products

Commercial Banking

Provides financial solutions to businesses, including cash management, lending, and treasury management services.

Consumer Banking

Offers personal banking services, including checking and savings accounts, credit cards, and personal loans.

Mortgage Banking

Provides mortgage lending services to individuals and businesses, including residential and commercial mortgages.

Wealth Management

Offers investment and wealth management services, including financial planning, investment management, and trust services.

Card Services

Provides credit card and debit card services to individuals and businesses.

Treasury Management

Offers cash management and treasury services to businesses, including account management, payment processing, and fraud prevention.

8. Atlantic Union Bankshares Corporation's Porter Forces

Forces Ranking

Threat Of Substitutes

The threat of substitutes for Atlantic Union Bankshares Corporation is medium due to the presence of alternative financial institutions and digital payment systems.

Bargaining Power Of Customers

The bargaining power of customers is low due to the lack of concentration in the banking industry and the high switching costs for customers.

Bargaining Power Of Suppliers

The bargaining power of suppliers is low due to the bank's ability to negotiate with suppliers and the lack of concentration in the supplier market.

Threat Of New Entrants

The threat of new entrants is low due to the high barriers to entry in the banking industry, including regulatory hurdles and capital requirements.

Intensity Of Rivalry

The intensity of rivalry is high due to the competitive nature of the banking industry, with many established players competing for market share.

9. SWOT Analysis

10. Capital Structure

10.a. Balance Sheet

10.b. Weighted Average Cost of capital

Value
Debt Weight 30.30%
Debt Cost 8.63%
Equity Weight 69.70%
Equity Cost 8.63%
WACC 8.63%
Leverage 43.46%

11. Quality Control: Atlantic Union Bankshares Corporation passed 4 out of 9 key points

12.a Historical Valuation

12.b Price/Earnings Ratio

12.c Margin Valuation

12.d Peers Valuation

Peers Group Analysis

Stock-Card
Webster

A-Score: 6.8/10

Value: 7.0

Growth: 6.4

Quality: 7.1

Yield: 6.0

Momentum: 8.0

Volatility: 6.0

1-Year Total Return ->

Stock-Card
Hancock Whitney

A-Score: 6.7/10

Value: 6.6

Growth: 5.9

Quality: 7.8

Yield: 6.0

Momentum: 7.0

Volatility: 6.7

1-Year Total Return ->

Stock-Card
SouthState

A-Score: 5.9/10

Value: 5.7

Growth: 5.4

Quality: 7.4

Yield: 5.0

Momentum: 4.5

Volatility: 7.7

1-Year Total Return ->

Stock-Card
Ameris

A-Score: 5.7/10

Value: 5.2

Growth: 7.8

Quality: 5.0

Yield: 2.0

Momentum: 7.0

Volatility: 7.3

1-Year Total Return ->

Stock-Card
Atlantic Union Bankshares

A-Score: 5.7/10

Value: 6.5

Growth: 5.2

Quality: 5.6

Yield: 7.0

Momentum: 3.5

Volatility: 6.3

1-Year Total Return ->

Stock-Card
UMB

A-Score: 5.7/10

Value: 5.7

Growth: 5.8

Quality: 5.2

Yield: 4.0

Momentum: 6.5

Volatility: 6.7

1-Year Total Return ->

Peers Metrics

12.e Scoring Insights

12.f DCF BETA

Parameters

Short Term Growth

Short term Time

Long-Term Growth

WACC

Target Price

34.39$

Current Price

34.39$

Potential

-0.00%

Expected Cash-Flows