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1. Company Snapshot

1.a. Company Description

Atlantic Union Bankshares Corporation operates as the holding company for Atlantic Union Bank that provides banking and related financial services to consumers and businesses.The company accepts various deposit products, including checking, savings, NOW, time deposit, and money market accounts; certificates of deposit; and other depository services.It also provides loans for commercial, industrial, residential mortgage, and consumer purposes.


In addition, the company offers credit cards, automated teller machine (ATM) services, mobile and internet banking services, and online bill payment services, as well as financial planning, trust, and wealth management services.Further, it provides securities, brokerage, and investment advisory products and services; and originates and sells residential loan products in the secondary market.As of February 25, 2022, it operated 130 branches and approximately 150 ATMs in Virginia, Maryland, and North Carolina.


The company was formerly known as Union Bankshares Corporation and changed its name to Atlantic Union Bankshares Corporation in May 2019.Atlantic Union Bankshares Corporation was founded in 1902 and is headquartered in Richmond, Virginia.

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1.b. Last Insights on AUB

Atlantic Union Bankshares Corporation's recent performance was positively driven by its strong Q4 2025 earnings, which beat estimates with $0.97 per share, surpassing the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $0.86 per share. Additionally, Deroy & Devereaux Private Investment Counsel Inc. increased its stake in the company by 31.4%, purchasing an additional 29,010 shares. The company's solid financials and growth prospects have drawn investor attention, with Creative Planning boosting its holdings by 738.9% in the second quarter.

1.c. Company Highlights

2. Atlantic Union Bankshares Posts Strong Q4 Results

Atlantic Union Bankshares reported robust fourth-quarter financial results, with adjusted operating earnings available to common shareholders reaching $138.4 million or $0.97 per common share. The company's net interest margin increased by 13 basis points to 3.96%, driven by lower deposit costs and relatively flat loan yields. For the full year 2025, adjusted operating earnings available to common shareholders were $444.8 million or $3.44 per common share, resulting in an adjusted operating return on tangible common equity of 20.4% and adjusted operating return on assets of 1.33%. The actual EPS came out at $0.788, slightly below estimates of $0.86.

Publication Date: Jan -23

📋 Highlights
  • Adjusted Operating Earnings:: Q4 2025 earnings rose to $138.4M ($0.97/share), with a 22.1% return on tangible common equity and 1.5% ROA.
  • Loan Growth:: 6.3% annualized growth in 2025, ending at $27.8B, with 2026 guidance of $29B–$30B in loans.
  • Net Interest Margin Expansion:: Increased 13 bps to 3.96% in Q4 2025, driven by lower deposit costs (1.96% at year-end) and stable loan yields.
  • Tangible Book Value Growth:: Rose 4% to $19.69/share in Q4 2025, with 2026 guidance of 12–15% annualized growth.
  • North Carolina Expansion:: Plans to open 10 branches in Raleigh and Wilmington over 1.5–2 years, supported by 20 active bankers and strong hiring capacity.

Loan Growth and Credit Quality

The company reported loan growth of approximately 6.3% annualized, ending the year at $27.8 billion, and expects 2026 year-end loan balances to range between $29 billion and $30 billion. Credit quality showed continued strength and improvement, with a fourth-quarter annualized net charge-off ratio coming in at one basis point. The loan pipeline is up, and production is up, with strength seen across the state of Virginia and in the former Sandy Spring footprint.

Deposit Trends and Capital Management

The company's deposit base experienced typical year-end fluctuations, but has seen some balances return during the early weeks of the first quarter. The company's regulatory capital ratios were comfortably above well-capitalized levels, and tangible book value per common share increased approximately 4% to $19.69 per share in the fourth quarter. The company is guiding towards 12-15% annualized tangible capital growth and will consider share buybacks once it reaches a CET1 capital ratio of 10.5%, potentially in the second or third quarter.

Outlook and Valuation

For 2026, the company guides for net interest income between $1.35 billion and $1.375 billion, and expects a fully tax-equivalent net interest margin of 3.94% for the full year. Analysts estimate next year's revenue growth at 4.8%. With a current Price-to-Tangible Book Value (P/TBV) of around 1.12, the stock appears reasonably valued. The Dividend Yield stands at 3.5%, providing a relatively attractive income stream. Given the company's guidance and valuation metrics, the stock is likely to remain stable, with potential for long-term growth.

3. NewsRoom

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Envestnet Asset Management Inc. Purchases 64,806 Shares of Atlantic Union Bankshares Co. $AUB

Feb -14

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Principal Financial Group Inc. Sells 18,280 Shares of Atlantic Union Bankshares Co. $AUB

Feb -08

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AUB Group Limited (AUBBF) M&A Call Transcript

Jan -27

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Atlantic Union Bankshares: Improvement Continues, Still A Buy

Jan -22

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Atlantic Union Bankshares Corporation (AUB) Q4 2025 Earnings Call Transcript

Jan -22

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Atlantic Union (AUB) Q4 Earnings: Taking a Look at Key Metrics Versus Estimates

Jan -22

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Atlantic Union (AUB) Q4 Earnings and Revenues Top Estimates

Jan -22

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Atlantic Union Bankshares Reports Fourth Quarter and Full Year Financial Results

Jan -22

4. Business Breakdown

4.a. Revenues by Country

4.b. Revenues by Segment

5. Expected revenues mid-term growth (6.02%)

6. Segments

Wholesale Banking

Expected Growth: 5.45%

Atlantic Union Bankshares Corporation's Wholesale Banking segment growth of 5.45% is driven by increased commercial loan demand, expansion of treasury management services, and strategic partnerships. Additionally, the segment benefits from a strong economy, low unemployment, and rising interest rates, which boost lending and deposit growth.

Consumer Banking

Expected Growth: 7.03%

Atlantic Union Bankshares Corporation's 7.03% growth in Consumer Banking is driven by strategic expansion into new markets, increased adoption of digital banking channels, and a focus on customer acquisition and retention through competitive pricing and exceptional customer service.

Corporate Other

Expected Growth: 4.54%

Atlantic Union Bankshares Corporation's Corporate Other segment growth of 4.54% is driven by increasing treasury management services, growth in mortgage banking income, and expansion of commercial loan offerings. Additionally, strategic acquisitions and investments in digital banking platforms have contributed to the segment's growth.

7. Detailed Products

Commercial Banking

Provides financial solutions to businesses, including cash management, lending, and treasury management services.

Consumer Banking

Offers personal banking services, including checking and savings accounts, credit cards, and personal loans.

Mortgage Banking

Provides mortgage lending services to individuals and businesses, including residential and commercial mortgages.

Wealth Management

Offers investment and wealth management services, including financial planning, investment management, and trust services.

Card Services

Provides credit card and debit card services to individuals and businesses.

Treasury Management

Offers cash management and treasury services to businesses, including account management, payment processing, and fraud prevention.

8. Atlantic Union Bankshares Corporation's Porter Forces

Forces Ranking

Threat Of Substitutes

The threat of substitutes for Atlantic Union Bankshares Corporation is medium due to the presence of alternative financial institutions and digital payment systems.

Bargaining Power Of Customers

The bargaining power of customers is low due to the lack of concentration in the banking industry and the high switching costs for customers.

Bargaining Power Of Suppliers

The bargaining power of suppliers is low due to the bank's ability to negotiate with suppliers and the lack of concentration in the supplier market.

Threat Of New Entrants

The threat of new entrants is low due to the high barriers to entry in the banking industry, including regulatory hurdles and capital requirements.

Intensity Of Rivalry

The intensity of rivalry is high due to the competitive nature of the banking industry, with many established players competing for market share.

9. SWOT Analysis

10. Capital Structure

10.a. Balance Sheet

10.b. Weighted Average Cost of capital

Value
Debt Weight 30.30%
Debt Cost 8.63%
Equity Weight 69.70%
Equity Cost 8.63%
WACC 8.63%
Leverage 43.46%

11. Quality Control: Atlantic Union Bankshares Corporation passed 4 out of 9 key points

12.a Historical Valuation

12.b Price/Earnings Ratio

12.c Margin Valuation

12.d Peers Valuation

Peers Group Analysis

Stock-Card
Hancock Whitney

A-Score: 6.3/10

Value: 6.0

Growth: 5.9

Quality: 7.2

Yield: 6.0

Momentum: 5.5

Volatility: 7.0

1-Year Total Return ->

Stock-Card
Webster

A-Score: 6.2/10

Value: 6.2

Growth: 6.3

Quality: 7.5

Yield: 6.0

Momentum: 5.0

Volatility: 6.3

1-Year Total Return ->

Stock-Card
Atlantic Union Bankshares

A-Score: 5.9/10

Value: 6.2

Growth: 5.2

Quality: 7.0

Yield: 8.0

Momentum: 2.5

Volatility: 6.7

1-Year Total Return ->

Stock-Card
Ameris

A-Score: 5.5/10

Value: 3.2

Growth: 7.8

Quality: 5.7

Yield: 2.0

Momentum: 7.0

Volatility: 7.3

1-Year Total Return ->

Stock-Card
SouthState

A-Score: 5.5/10

Value: 5.3

Growth: 5.4

Quality: 6.9

Yield: 5.0

Momentum: 2.5

Volatility: 7.7

1-Year Total Return ->

Stock-Card
UMB

A-Score: 5.4/10

Value: 5.9

Growth: 5.8

Quality: 6.3

Yield: 4.0

Momentum: 3.5

Volatility: 7.0

1-Year Total Return ->

Peers Metrics

12.e Scoring Insights

12.f DCF BETA

Parameters

Short Term Growth

Short term Time

Long-Term Growth

WACC

Target Price

40.65$

Current Price

40.65$

Potential

-0.00%

Expected Cash-Flows