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1. Company Snapshot

1.a. Company Description

Red Rock Resorts, Inc., through its interest in Station Holdco and Station LLC, develops and operates casino and entertainment properties in the United States.It operates through two segments, Las Vegas Operations and Native American Management.The company owns and operates 9 gaming and entertainment facilities, and 10 smaller casinos in the Las Vegas regional market.


In addition, it manages Graton Resort & Casino in northern California.As of December 31, 2021, it operated approximately 13,894 slot machines, 240 table games, and 3,081 hotel rooms in the Las Vegas market.The company was formerly known as Station Casinos Corp.


and changed its name to Red Rock Resorts, Inc.in January 2016.Red Rock Resorts, Inc.


was incorporated in 1976 and is based in Las Vegas, Nevada.

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1.b. Last Insights on RRR

Red Rock Resorts' recent performance was driven by strong quarterly earnings, beating EPS estimates, and robust local market demand. The company's Q3 2025 earnings call highlighted growth prospects, with six vacant land parcels positioning RRR for future development. Institutional investors, such as Bank of Montreal Can, Capital Fund Management S.A., and Creative Planning, have recently acquired stakes in the company. Additionally, Red Rock Resorts' announcement of its Q4 2025 earnings release and conference call date may impact investor sentiment.

1.c. Company Highlights

2. Red Rock Resorts' Strong Q4 and Full-Year 2025 Results Exceed Expectations

Red Rock Resorts reported exceptional fourth-quarter results, with Las Vegas operations setting new records for net revenue and adjusted EBITDA while maintaining near-record adjusted EBITDA margin. The company's Las Vegas operations reported fourth-quarter net revenue of $505 million, up 2.5% from the prior year, and adjusted EBITDA of $231 million, up 3.2% from the prior year. For the full year, net revenue was just under $2 billion, up 2.9% from the prior year, and adjusted EBITDA was $915.9 million, up 4.2% from the prior year. The company's earnings per share (EPS) came in at $0.75, significantly beating estimates of $0.41. The strong financial performance was driven by the company's locals market focus and its diversified portfolio of properties.

Publication Date: Feb -15

📋 Highlights
  • Full-Year Record Performance:: Las Vegas operations achieved $1.98B net revenue and $915.9M adjusted EBITDA, with the latter surpassing $900M for the first time in 50 years.
  • Durango Expansion Impact:: Added 25,000 sq ft of casino space, including high-limit slots and parking, positioning it as a key growth driver with expected mid-teens returns.
  • Strong Liquidity Position:: $142.5M cash and $3.4B debt resulted in $3.3B net debt, enabling $0.26/share dividend and repurchase of 880K shares in Q4.
  • Special Dividend Declared:: $1/share special dividend announced in February 2026, reflecting confidence in long-term earnings and capital allocation strategy.
  • 2026 EBITDA Growth Outlook:: Projected 5.5% Q4-to-Q1 EBITDA growth despite $9M construction disruptions, leveraging tax season and high local customer retention (50% visit >8x/month).

Operational Highlights

The company's Durango Casino Resort continues to expand the locals market and drive incremental play from its existing customer base, reinforcing its position as a meaningful growth driver within the company's portfolio. The latest expansion added 25,000 square feet of new casino space, including a high-limit slot area and a covered parking garage. The company's investment in high-limit rooms and high-net-worth customers has contributed to this growth, as well as the quality of its assets, which offers a compelling experience compared to the strip.

Growth Prospects and Challenges

Looking ahead, the company remains focused on executing its development pipeline, maintaining operating discipline, and delivering enhanced shareholder returns through a balanced, consistent, and disciplined capital allocation strategy. The company's $385 million expansion at Durango is expected to generate returns in the low teens, growing to mid-teens and eventually reaching 20%. However, the disruption at Durango is expected to be short-term, lasting around 16 months, and is primarily due to roadwork and construction. Analysts estimate next year's revenue growth at 4.7%.

Valuation and Dividend Yield

The company's current valuation metrics are as follows: P/E Ratio of 19.22, P/B Ratio of 16.46, P/S Ratio of 1.81, EV/EBITDA of 8.64, Dividend Yield of 3.26%, Free Cash Flow Yield of 8.21%, ROIC of 13.88%, ROE of 84.99%, and Net Debt / EBITDA of 4.09. The company's strong financial performance and growth prospects are reflected in its valuation metrics, which indicate a premium valuation. However, the company's dividend yield provides a relatively stable source of return for investors.

Management's Confidence and Future Plans

The company's Board of Directors has declared a special cash dividend of $1 per Class A common share, reflecting the continued strength the company is seeing in its business and the confidence it has in the long-term earnings power of its operating model. The company's management is confident in its ability to continue growing its Las Vegas EBITDA base in 2026 despite potential disruption at its Durango property. The company's locals market focus, driven by local repeat customers, makes it recession-resistant compared to the strip.

3. NewsRoom

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Cookson Peirce & Co. Inc. Invests $1.20 Million in Red Rock Resorts, Inc. $RRR

Feb -14

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Red Rock Resorts, Inc. (RRR) Q4 2025 Earnings Call Transcript

Feb -11

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Red Rock Resorts (RRR) Q4 Earnings: How Key Metrics Compare to Wall Street Estimates

Feb -10

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Red Rock Resorts (RRR) Tops Q4 Earnings and Revenue Estimates

Feb -10

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Red Rock Resorts Announces Fourth Quarter and Full Year 2025 Results

Feb -10

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Red Rock Resorts, Inc. (NASDAQ:RRR) Given Average Recommendation of “Moderate Buy” by Brokerages

Feb -09

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Universal Beteiligungs und Servicegesellschaft mbH Buys Shares of 10,085 Red Rock Resorts, Inc. $RRR

Feb -03

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Red Rock Resorts (NASDAQ:RRR) Share Price Passes Above 200-Day Moving Average – Here’s What Happened

Jan -27

4. Business Breakdown

4.a. Revenues by Country

4.b. Revenues by Segment

5. Expected revenues mid-term growth (6.00%)

6. Segments

Las Vegas Operations

Expected Growth: 6%

Las Vegas Operations' 6% growth driven by increasing visitation and spending from tourists, locals, and convention attendees. Strong demand for luxury experiences, new amenities, and renovated properties. Effective marketing strategies, loyalty programs, and operational efficiencies also contribute to growth.

Corporate and Other

Expected Growth: 6%

Red Rock Resorts' Corporate and Other segment growth of 6% is driven by increased management fees from Native American gaming partnerships, higher revenue from the company's interactive business, and cost savings initiatives. Additionally, the company's focus on enhancing its loyalty program and improving operational efficiencies also contributed to the growth.

7. Detailed Products

Casino Resorts

Luxury resorts and casinos offering gaming, dining, and entertainment experiences

Hotel Accommodations

Luxurious hotel rooms and suites with modern amenities and exceptional service

Dining Experiences

Upscale restaurants, bars, and lounges offering a range of cuisines and atmospheres

Gaming and Entertainment

State-of-the-art gaming facilities, live entertainment, and nightlife options

Meetings and Events

Customizable event spaces and services for corporate meetings, weddings, and social events

Spa and Wellness

Luxurious spa facilities and wellness programs for relaxation and rejuvenation

8. Red Rock Resorts, Inc.'s Porter Forces

Forces Ranking

Threat Of Substitutes

The threat of substitutes for Red Rock Resorts, Inc. is medium due to the presence of alternative entertainment options such as online gaming and other leisure activities.

Bargaining Power Of Customers

The bargaining power of customers for Red Rock Resorts, Inc. is high due to the high demand for luxury experiences and the ability of customers to choose from various alternatives.

Bargaining Power Of Suppliers

The bargaining power of suppliers for Red Rock Resorts, Inc. is low due to the company's large scale of operations and its ability to negotiate favorable terms with suppliers.

Threat Of New Entrants

The threat of new entrants for Red Rock Resorts, Inc. is low due to the high barriers to entry in the gaming and hospitality industry, including the need for significant capital investment and regulatory approvals.

Intensity Of Rivalry

The intensity of rivalry for Red Rock Resorts, Inc. is high due to the competitive nature of the gaming and hospitality industry, with many established players competing for market share.

9. SWOT Analysis

10. Capital Structure

10.a. Balance Sheet

10.b. Weighted Average Cost of capital

Value
Debt Weight 95.31%
Debt Cost 6.00%
Equity Weight 4.69%
Equity Cost 14.33%
WACC 6.39%
Leverage 2032.85%

11. Quality Control: Red Rock Resorts, Inc. passed 4 out of 9 key points

12.a Historical Valuation

12.b Price/Earnings Ratio

12.c Margin Valuation

12.d Peers Valuation

Peers Group Analysis

Stock-Card
Red Rock Resorts

A-Score: 6.4/10

Value: 5.6

Growth: 5.2

Quality: 7.8

Yield: 7.0

Momentum: 7.0

Volatility: 6.0

1-Year Total Return ->

Stock-Card
Boyd Gaming

A-Score: 6.0/10

Value: 6.5

Growth: 7.2

Quality: 6.5

Yield: 1.0

Momentum: 7.0

Volatility: 8.0

1-Year Total Return ->

Stock-Card
Vail Resorts

A-Score: 5.6/10

Value: 4.0

Growth: 5.9

Quality: 6.4

Yield: 8.0

Momentum: 3.0

Volatility: 6.7

1-Year Total Return ->

Stock-Card
Churchill Downs

A-Score: 4.7/10

Value: 4.3

Growth: 8.9

Quality: 5.5

Yield: 0.0

Momentum: 1.5

Volatility: 7.7

1-Year Total Return ->

Stock-Card
Marriott Vacations Worldwide

A-Score: 4.6/10

Value: 7.4

Growth: 5.7

Quality: 4.0

Yield: 6.0

Momentum: 1.0

Volatility: 3.3

1-Year Total Return ->

Stock-Card
MGM Resorts

A-Score: 4.0/10

Value: 4.2

Growth: 7.6

Quality: 2.6

Yield: 0.0

Momentum: 4.0

Volatility: 5.7

1-Year Total Return ->

Peers Metrics

12.e Scoring Insights

12.f DCF BETA

Parameters

Short Term Growth

Short term Time

Long-Term Growth

WACC

Target Price

60.29$

Current Price

60.29$

Potential

-0.00%

Expected Cash-Flows