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1. Company Snapshot

1.a. Company Description

Red Rock Resorts, Inc., through its interest in Station Holdco and Station LLC, develops and operates casino and entertainment properties in the United States.It operates through two segments, Las Vegas Operations and Native American Management.The company owns and operates 9 gaming and entertainment facilities, and 10 smaller casinos in the Las Vegas regional market.


In addition, it manages Graton Resort & Casino in northern California.As of December 31, 2021, it operated approximately 13,894 slot machines, 240 table games, and 3,081 hotel rooms in the Las Vegas market.The company was formerly known as Station Casinos Corp.


and changed its name to Red Rock Resorts, Inc.in January 2016.Red Rock Resorts, Inc.


was incorporated in 1976 and is based in Las Vegas, Nevada.

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1.b. Last Insights on RRR

Red Rock Resorts' recent performance was impacted by a slowdown in revenue growth, with net revenues increasing only 1.6% year-over-year to $475.6 million in Q3 2025. Despite beating earnings estimates with $0.68 per share, the company's growth momentum appears to be waning. The company's focus on the Las Vegas locals market and its development pipeline, including major property renovations, may not be enough to offset the challenges. According to Zacks, the company was expected to post earnings of $0.35 per share, indicating a significant beat, but the modest revenue growth may raise concerns about the company's future prospects.

1.c. Company Highlights

2. Red Rock Resorts' Q3 2025 Earnings: A Strong Performance

The company's third-quarter net revenue was $468.6 million, up almost 1% from the prior year's third quarter, while adjusted EBITDA was $209.4 million, up 3.4% from the prior year's third quarter. The adjusted EBITDA margin was 44.7%, an increase of 110 basis points from the prior year. Earnings per share came out at $1.21, significantly higher than the estimated $0.36. The strong financial performance was driven by the Las Vegas operations, which set new records for net revenue and adjusted EBITDA.

Publication Date: Nov -13

📋 Highlights
  • Q3 Revenue & EBITDA Records: Third-quarter net revenue reached $468.6M (+1%), adjusted EBITDA hit $209.4M (+3.4%), with a 44.7% margin (↑110 bps YoY).
  • Durango Expansion Plans: 275,000 sq ft expansion to add 400+ slots, opening in early Q4 2026, with $750M total cost fully financed.
  • Free Cash Flow Generation: Converted 67.3% of EBITDA to $128.5M ($1.21/share), totaling $335.3M ($3.17/share) year-to-date.
  • Shareholder Returns: Dividend hike to $0.26/share ($1.04/annualized) and $221M returned via buybacks and dividends in 2025.
  • Capital Efficiency: Full-year CAPEX reduced to $325–350M (-$25M from prior guidance), including $235–250M investment capital.

Operational Highlights

Durango Casino Resort continues to expand the Las Vegas locals market, drive incremental play from the existing customer base, and attract new guests to the Station Casinos brand. The company is now turning its attention to the next phase of Durango's master plan, which will expand the podium along the north side of the existing facility by more than 275,000 square feet. According to Lorenzo Fertitta, "we expect to get similar returns on the expansion that we have gotten so far on the initial build."

Valuation Metrics

With a P/E Ratio of 14.45 and an EV/EBITDA of 4.23, the company's valuation appears reasonable. The Dividend Yield is 3.43%, indicating a decent return for income-seeking investors. The company's ROIC is 15.41%, suggesting a strong ability to generate returns on invested capital.

Growth Prospects

The company remains confident in the strength and resilience of its business and the long-term growth prospects. The Durango expansion is expected to drive additional traffic and guests, while the North Fork facility is on track for an early fourth quarter 2026 opening. Analysts estimate next year's revenue growth at 3.4%, indicating a steady increase in top-line performance.

Capital Allocation

The Board of Directors has approved an increase in the regular quarterly cash dividend, reflecting the company's continued strength and long-term earnings power. The company has also returned approximately $221 million to shareholders year-to-date through dividends and share repurchases.

Future Developments

The company is making progress on its development pipeline, with the North Fork facility expected to open in Q4 2026. The total all-in project cost remains approximately $750 million, fully financed and being executed under a guaranteed maximum price contract. According to Scott Kreeger, "we're as bullish as we've ever been relative to the future development of the company and our ability to generate returns."

3. NewsRoom

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Creative Planning Purchases 5,518 Shares of Red Rock Resorts, Inc. $RRR

Nov -29

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Red Rock Resorts: Earnings And Prospects For 2026

Nov -26

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4,555 Shares in Red Rock Resorts, Inc. $RRR Purchased by Bank of Montreal Can

Nov -21

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Pioneer Railcorp (OTCMKTS:PRRR) Stock Price Up 0.2% – What’s Next?

Nov -06

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Is Red Rock Resorts (RRR) Outperforming Other Consumer Discretionary Stocks This Year?

Oct -30

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Top Casino Stocks To Follow Now – October 28th

Oct -30

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Red Rock Resorts, Inc. (RRR) Q3 2025 Earnings Call Transcript

Oct -29

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Compared to Estimates, Red Rock Resorts (RRR) Q3 Earnings: A Look at Key Metrics

Oct -28

4. Business Breakdown

4.a. Revenues by Country

4.b. Revenues by Segment

5. Expected revenues mid-term growth (6.00%)

6. Segments

Las Vegas Operations

Expected Growth: 6%

Las Vegas Operations' 6% growth driven by increasing visitation and spending from tourists, locals, and convention attendees. Strong demand for luxury experiences, new amenities, and renovated properties. Effective marketing strategies, loyalty programs, and operational efficiencies also contribute to growth.

Corporate and Other

Expected Growth: 6%

Red Rock Resorts' Corporate and Other segment growth of 6% is driven by increased management fees from Native American gaming partnerships, higher revenue from the company's interactive business, and cost savings initiatives. Additionally, the company's focus on enhancing its loyalty program and improving operational efficiencies also contributed to the growth.

7. Detailed Products

Casino Resorts

Luxury resorts and casinos offering gaming, dining, and entertainment experiences

Hotel Accommodations

Luxurious hotel rooms and suites with modern amenities and exceptional service

Dining Experiences

Upscale restaurants, bars, and lounges offering a range of cuisines and atmospheres

Gaming and Entertainment

State-of-the-art gaming facilities, live entertainment, and nightlife options

Meetings and Events

Customizable event spaces and services for corporate meetings, weddings, and social events

Spa and Wellness

Luxurious spa facilities and wellness programs for relaxation and rejuvenation

8. Red Rock Resorts, Inc.'s Porter Forces

Forces Ranking

Threat Of Substitutes

The threat of substitutes for Red Rock Resorts, Inc. is medium due to the presence of alternative entertainment options such as online gaming and other leisure activities.

Bargaining Power Of Customers

The bargaining power of customers for Red Rock Resorts, Inc. is high due to the high demand for luxury experiences and the ability of customers to choose from various alternatives.

Bargaining Power Of Suppliers

The bargaining power of suppliers for Red Rock Resorts, Inc. is low due to the company's large scale of operations and its ability to negotiate favorable terms with suppliers.

Threat Of New Entrants

The threat of new entrants for Red Rock Resorts, Inc. is low due to the high barriers to entry in the gaming and hospitality industry, including the need for significant capital investment and regulatory approvals.

Intensity Of Rivalry

The intensity of rivalry for Red Rock Resorts, Inc. is high due to the competitive nature of the gaming and hospitality industry, with many established players competing for market share.

9. SWOT Analysis

10. Capital Structure

10.a. Balance Sheet

10.b. Weighted Average Cost of capital

Value
Debt Weight 95.31%
Debt Cost 6.00%
Equity Weight 4.69%
Equity Cost 14.33%
WACC 6.39%
Leverage 2032.85%

11. Quality Control: Red Rock Resorts, Inc. passed 4 out of 9 key points

12.a Historical Valuation

12.b Price/Earnings Ratio

12.c Margin Valuation

12.d Peers Valuation

Peers Group Analysis

Stock-Card
Boyd Gaming

A-Score: 6.3/10

Value: 6.2

Growth: 7.3

Quality: 6.6

Yield: 1.0

Momentum: 8.5

Volatility: 8.0

1-Year Total Return ->

Stock-Card
Red Rock Resorts

A-Score: 5.8/10

Value: 4.7

Growth: 5.2

Quality: 5.5

Yield: 7.0

Momentum: 6.5

Volatility: 5.7

1-Year Total Return ->

Stock-Card
Vail Resorts

A-Score: 5.5/10

Value: 3.7

Growth: 5.9

Quality: 5.5

Yield: 8.0

Momentum: 3.0

Volatility: 7.0

1-Year Total Return ->

Stock-Card
Marriott Vacations Worldwide

A-Score: 5.4/10

Value: 6.7

Growth: 5.8

Quality: 5.5

Yield: 6.0

Momentum: 3.5

Volatility: 4.7

1-Year Total Return ->

Stock-Card
Churchill Downs

A-Score: 4.5/10

Value: 4.3

Growth: 8.9

Quality: 5.5

Yield: 0.0

Momentum: 1.0

Volatility: 7.3

1-Year Total Return ->

Stock-Card
MGM Resorts

A-Score: 3.9/10

Value: 4.4

Growth: 7.7

Quality: 2.4

Yield: 0.0

Momentum: 3.5

Volatility: 5.7

1-Year Total Return ->

Peers Metrics

12.e Scoring Insights

12.f DCF BETA

Parameters

Short Term Growth

Short term Time

Long-Term Growth

WACC

Target Price

56.23$

Current Price

56.23$

Potential

-0.00%

Expected Cash-Flows