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1. Company Snapshot

1.a. Company Description

GLPI is engaged in the business of acquiring, financing, and owning real estate property to be leased to gaming operators in triple-net lease arrangements, pursuant to which the tenant is responsible for all facility maintenance, insurance required in connection with the leased properties and the business conducted on the leased properties, taxes levied on or with respect to the leased properties and all utilities and other services necessary or appropriate for the leased properties and the business conducted on the leased properties.

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1.b. Last Insights on GLPI

Gaming and Leisure Properties' recent performance was negatively impacted by a lackluster Q2 2025 earnings release, which failed to exceed expectations despite a 2.6% dividend increase. The company's FFO of $0.96 per share matched the Zacks Consensus Estimate, but a year-over-year comparison revealed a slight decline from $0.94 per share. Additionally, the company's full-year guidance update was not provided, leaving investors with uncertainty about future growth prospects.

1.c. Company Highlights

2. GLPI's Q4 2025 Earnings: A Strong Performance Amidst a Challenging Landscape

Gaming and Leisure Properties, Inc. (GLPI) reported a robust fourth-quarter 2025 earnings, with total income from real estate surpassing 2024 by over $17 million, driven by cash rent increases of over $23 million from acquisitions and escalations. The company's actual EPS came out at $0.99, slightly beating estimates of $0.98. GLPI's revenue growth was largely fueled by its strategic acquisitions, including the $700 million purchase of Bally's Lincoln at an accretive 8% cap rate.

Publication Date: Feb -22

📋 Highlights
  • Real Estate Income Growth:: Total income from real estate rose over $17 million YoY in Q4 2025, driven by $23 million+ cash rent increases from acquisitions and escalations.
  • Acquisition Activity:: Completed $700 million Bally’s Lincoln purchase at an 8% cap rate, with $440 million allocated to Cordish Live! Virginia and $225 million for Penn’s Aurora facility (2026 close).
  • Capital Pipeline:: $2.6 billion in future capital commitments over 24 months, split 50% development (e.g., Bally’s Chicago hotel tower, 2027 opening) and 50% acquisitions.
  • Balance Sheet Strength:: Leverage ratio of 4.6x (post-Lebanon acquisition, ~4.9x), with $575–650 million 2026 development funding and revolver use for Lincoln acquisition.
  • Valuation Disparity:: Stock trades at a 2-turn discount despite 7% dividend yield, conservative leverage, and AFFO growth outpacing peers. 2026 AFFO guidance: $4.06–$4.11/share.

Financial Performance

The company's financial performance was marked by a significant increase in total income from real estate, driven by cash rent increases from acquisitions and escalations. GLPI's pipeline is deep, with $2.6 billion in future capital commitments poised for deployment over the next 24 months. The company's balance sheet is well-positioned, with a leverage ratio of 4.6x, and its tenants remain healthy, evidenced by robust rent coverage metrics.

Guidance and Outlook

GLPI provided guidance for 2026 AFFO between $1.207 billion and $1.222 billion, or between $4.06 and $4.11 per diluted share and OP units. The guidance includes anticipated development fundings of approximately $575 million to $650 million related to current development projects. Analysts estimate next year's revenue growth at 4.4%, indicating a steady trajectory for the company.

Valuation Metrics

GLPI's valuation metrics indicate a relatively attractive dividend yield of 6.56%, with a P/E Ratio of 16.01 and an EV/EBITDA of 14.51. The company's ROE stands at 18.36%, reflecting a strong return on equity. The Net Debt / EBITDA ratio is at 0.09, indicating a healthy debt position. Given these metrics, it appears that GLPI's stock may be undervalued, with potential for growth.

Pipeline and Development Projects

The company's pipeline is diverse, with a mix of development transactions and acquisitions. GLPI is involved in various projects, including the Cordish Live! Virginia project, which is expected to have a modest spend in 2026 and a larger spend in 2027. The company's development projects, including Bally's Chicago, are on schedule, with the hotel tower surpassing the 20th floor and an expected opening in the first half of 2027.

Growth Prospects

GLPI is bullish on 2026-2027, having built a pipeline and actively seeking to add to it. The company's CEO, Carlo Santarelli, mentioned that GLPI is not exclusive to Bally's and is open to discussing other projects. With a strong track record of accretive acquisitions and a healthy balance sheet, GLPI is well-positioned to drive growth and create value for shareholders.

3. NewsRoom

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Gaming and Leisure Properties: Cheap REIT With A 6% Yield And Good Return Potential

Mar -25

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2 Stocks To Shield You From AI Disruption While Paying You An Average Yield Of 6.36%

Mar -22

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Who Benefits If Fertitta Buys Caesars? 4 Stocks to Watch

Mar -13

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Gaming and Leisure Properties Releases New Investor Presentation

Mar -06

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Gaming and Leisure Properties (GLPI) Just Flashed Golden Cross Signal: Do You Buy?

Mar -05

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Citigroup Inc. Grows Position in Gaming and Leisure Properties, Inc. $GLPI

Feb -28

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Gaming and Leisure Properties: The Market Is Still Undervaluing This High-Yield Casino REIT

Feb -26

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Gaming and Leisure Properties Announces Pricing of $800,000,000 of 5.625% Senior Notes Due 2036

Feb -25

4. Business Breakdown

4.a. Revenues by Country

4.b. Revenues by Segment

5. Expected revenues mid-term growth (3.00%)

6. Segments

Rental Income

Expected Growth: 3.0%

Rental income growth of 3.0% driven by increasing demand for gaming and leisure properties, fueled by rising disposable income, growing tourism, and expansion of existing properties. Additionally, strategic acquisitions and partnerships contribute to revenue growth, while a strong balance sheet enables reinvestment in high-growth opportunities.

Income from Investment in leases, Financing Receivables

Expected Growth: 3.0%

The 3.0% growth in Income from Investment in leases and Financing Receivables from Gaming and Leisure Properties, Inc. is driven by increasing demand for gaming and leisure activities, expansion of existing properties, and strategic acquisitions. Additionally, favorable interest rates and a strong balance sheet enable the company to optimize its financing structure, leading to improved profitability.

Interest income from real estate loans

Expected Growth: 3.0%

Gaming and Leisure Properties, Inc.'s 3.0% growth in interest income from real estate loans is driven by increasing demand for gaming and leisure facilities, expansion of existing properties, and strategic acquisitions. Additionally, a low-interest-rate environment and a strong balance sheet enable the company to capitalize on growth opportunities, resulting in higher interest income.

7. Detailed Products

Real Estate Investment Trust (REIT)

Gaming and Leisure Properties, Inc. operates as a REIT, providing a diversified portfolio of properties to gaming operators.

Gaming Facility Operations

The company operates gaming facilities, including casinos, hotels, and racetracks, offering a range of gaming, hospitality, and entertainment options.

Casino Development and Management

GLPI develops and manages casinos, providing expertise in design, construction, and operational management.

Racing and Sports Wagering

The company operates racetracks and offers sports wagering services, providing a platform for horse racing and sports betting.

8. Gaming and Leisure Properties, Inc.'s Porter Forces

Forces Ranking

Threat Of Substitutes

Gaming and Leisure Properties, Inc. operates in a niche market, providing a unique product offering. However, there are substitutes available in the market, such as online gaming platforms and other forms of entertainment. The threat of substitutes is moderate, as customers have some alternatives, but they are not easily substitutable.

Bargaining Power Of Customers

Gaming and Leisure Properties, Inc. has a diverse customer base, and no single customer has significant bargaining power. The company's customers are primarily individual gamers and tourists, who do not have the ability to negotiate prices or terms.

Bargaining Power Of Suppliers

Gaming and Leisure Properties, Inc. has a diverse supplier base, and no single supplier has significant bargaining power. The company's suppliers are primarily providers of goods and services, such as food and beverage suppliers, and do not have the ability to negotiate prices or terms.

Threat Of New Entrants

The gaming and leisure industry is highly regulated, and new entrants face significant barriers to entry. However, the industry is also highly competitive, and new entrants can potentially disrupt the market. The threat of new entrants is high, as new companies can potentially enter the market and compete with Gaming and Leisure Properties, Inc.

Intensity Of Rivalry

The gaming and leisure industry is highly competitive, with many established players competing for market share. Gaming and Leisure Properties, Inc. faces intense competition from other gaming and leisure companies, and the intensity of rivalry is high.

9. SWOT Analysis

10. Capital Structure

10.a. Balance Sheet

10.b. Weighted Average Cost of capital

Value
Debt Weight 61.46%
Debt Cost 4.71%
Equity Weight 38.54%
Equity Cost 8.65%
WACC 6.23%
Leverage 159.49%

11. Quality Control: Gaming and Leisure Properties, Inc. passed 7 out of 9 key points

12.a Historical Valuation

12.b Price/Earnings Ratio

12.c Margin Valuation

12.d Peers Valuation

Peers Group Analysis

Stock-Card
EPR Properties

A-Score: 7.4/10

Value: 5.3

Growth: 3.9

Quality: 7.8

Yield: 10.0

Momentum: 8.0

Volatility: 9.3

1-Year Total Return ->

Stock-Card
Hannon Armstrong

A-Score: 7.3/10

Value: 10.0

Growth: 4.8

Quality: 7.6

Yield: 9.0

Momentum: 7.0

Volatility: 5.7

1-Year Total Return ->

Stock-Card
Rayonier

A-Score: 6.6/10

Value: 5.7

Growth: 5.4

Quality: 7.7

Yield: 10.0

Momentum: 2.0

Volatility: 8.7

1-Year Total Return ->

Stock-Card
Gaming and Leisure Properties

A-Score: 6.4/10

Value: 3.9

Growth: 4.3

Quality: 6.6

Yield: 10.0

Momentum: 3.5

Volatility: 10.0

1-Year Total Return ->

Stock-Card
Lamar

A-Score: 6.2/10

Value: 2.6

Growth: 5.0

Quality: 7.0

Yield: 8.0

Momentum: 6.0

Volatility: 8.7

1-Year Total Return ->

Stock-Card
Weyerhaeuser

A-Score: 4.6/10

Value: 2.4

Growth: 3.0

Quality: 3.7

Yield: 8.0

Momentum: 2.0

Volatility: 8.3

1-Year Total Return ->

Peers Metrics

12.e Scoring Insights

12.f DCF BETA

Parameters

Short Term Growth

Short term Time

Long-Term Growth

WACC

Target Price

45.63$

Current Price

45.63$

Potential

-0.00%

Expected Cash-Flows